Juventus
Serie A · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #2 of 20 62.9 expected pts · pre-season forecast
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date — the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #6 of 20 in Serie A 69 pts · 19W–12D–7L · GD +27
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Juventus?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Juventus's results were 3.6% harder to call than the Serie A average. How this is measured.
| Market | Juventus | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 50.0% | 52.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 53.1% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 43.8% | 50.3% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Serie A | #4 | 1520 | 1650 | 1602 |
| 2024-25 | Serie A | #5 | 1522 | 1670 | 1610 |
| 2023-24 | Serie A | #5 | 1534 | 1711 | 1584 |
| 2022-23 | Serie A | #6 | 1522 | 1646 | 1573 |
| 2021-22 | Serie A | #6 | 1502 | 1659 | 1575 |
| 2020-21 | Serie A | #3 | 1522 | 1676 | 1676 |
| 2019-20 | Serie A | #7 | 1529 | 1710 | 1577 |
| 2018-19 | Serie A | #2 | 1529 | 1789 | 1633 |
| 2017-18 | Serie A | #1 | 1522 | 1790 | 1761 |
| 2016-17 | Serie A | #2 | 1518 | 1743 | 1720 |
| 2015-16 | Serie A | #1 | 1471 | 1797 | 1749 |
| 2014-15 | Serie A | #1 | 1529 | 1724 | 1704 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | vs Fiorentina | W Juventus 75.6% · draw 13.2% | L ✗ |
| May 09, 2026 | at Lecce | W Juventus 65.2% · draw 17.1% | W ✓ |
| May 03, 2026 | vs Verona | W Juventus 82.4% · draw 9.9% | D ✗ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | at Milan | W Juventus 43.7% · draw 24.5% | D ✗ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | vs Bologna | W Juventus 66.2% · draw 17.4% | W ✓ |
| Apr 11, 2026 | at Atalanta | L Juventus 37.7% · draw 24.0% | W ✗ |
| Apr 06, 2026 | vs Genoa | W Juventus 77.5% · draw 12.3% | W ✓ |
| Mar 21, 2026 | vs Sassuolo | W Juventus 78.1% · draw 12.0% | D ✗ |
| Mar 14, 2026 | at Udinese | W Juventus 57.9% · draw 20.0% | W ✓ |
| Mar 07, 2026 | vs Pisa | W Juventus 81.2% · draw 10.5% | W ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/juventus">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/serie_a"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings — Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/juventus">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>