Pisa
Serie A · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time; second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2025-26 — what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #20 of 20 in Serie A 18 pts · 2W–12D–24L · GD -45
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation — every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Pisa?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 32 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade — and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Pisa's results were 5.9% easier to call than the Serie A average. How this is measured.
| Market | Pisa | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 59.4% | 52.5% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 59.4% | 51.9% |
| Both teams to score | 46.9% | 50.3% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | Serie A | #20 | 1502 | 1502 | 1244 |
| 2024-25 | Serie B | #2 | 1482 | 1677 | 1619 |
| 2023-24 | Serie B | #15 | 1500 | 1517 | 1478 |
| 2022-23 | Serie B | #17 | 1561 | 1632 | 1452 |
| 2021-22 | Serie B | #4 | 1518 | 1650 | 1607 |
| 2020-21 | Serie B | #15 | 1541 | 1571 | 1472 |
| 2019-20 | Serie B | #6 | 1500 | 1561 | 1550 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches — model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | vs Napoli | L Pisa 18.5% · draw 17.6% | L ✓ |
| May 10, 2026 | at Cremonese | L Pisa 36.4% · draw 25.2% | L ✓ |
| May 01, 2026 | vs Lecce | W Pisa 45.1% · draw 25.7% | L ✗ |
| Apr 25, 2026 | at Parma | L Pisa 17.4% · draw 18.2% | L ✓ |
| Apr 19, 2026 | vs Genoa | L Pisa 36.6% · draw 26.4% | L ✓ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | at Roma | L Pisa 10.2% · draw 12.2% | L ✓ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | vs Torino | L Pisa 34.2% · draw 25.4% | L ✓ |
| Mar 22, 2026 | at Como | L Pisa 6.9% · draw 9.0% | L ✓ |
| Mar 15, 2026 | vs Cagliari | L Pisa 31.0% · draw 25.0% | W ✗ |
| Mar 07, 2026 | at Juventus | L Pisa 8.4% · draw 10.5% | L ✓ |
Reuse this data — CC BY 4.0
The Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0 — attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/pisa">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
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<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/pisa">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>