Serie A 2024-2025: Juventus vs Monza Prediction

Juventus

Home Team
96%
VS

Monza

Away Team
2%
Draw: 3%
Over 2.5: 41%
Under 2.5: 59%

Current Standings

Pos Team Pl W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Inter 33 21 8 4 72 32 40 71
2 Napoli 33 21 8 4 52 25 27 71
3 Atalanta 33 19 7 7 66 30 36 64
4 Bologna 33 16 12 5 52 37 15 60
5 Juventus 33 15 14 4 49 31 18 59
6 Lazio 33 17 8 8 55 43 12 59
7 Roma 33 16 9 8 48 32 16 57
8 Fiorentina 33 16 8 9 51 33 18 56
9 Milan 33 14 9 10 51 38 13 51
10 Torino 33 10 13 10 38 37 1 43
11 Udinese 33 11 7 15 36 48 -12 40
12 Como 33 10 9 14 43 48 -5 39
13 Genoa 33 9 12 12 29 40 -11 39
14 Verona 33 9 5 19 30 60 -30 32
15 Parma 33 6 13 14 38 51 -13 31
16 Cagliari 33 7 9 17 33 49 -16 30
17 Lecce 33 6 8 19 23 55 -32 26
18 Venezia 33 4 13 16 27 46 -19 25
19 Empoli 33 4 13 16 26 52 -26 25
20 Monza 33 2 9 22 25 57 -32 15

Recent Trends

Juventus ❌ ✅ ⚪ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Lecce (Goals: 2 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ⚪ vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 1)
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Genoa (Goals: 1 - 0)
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Fiorentina (Goals: 0 - 3)

Monza ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌ ⚪

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Napoli (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Venezia (Goals: 0 - 1)
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Como (Goals: 1 - 3)
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Cagliari (Goals: 0 - 3)
  • 5th Last Match: ⚪ vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 1)

Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)

Juventus

Average Expected Goals (xG): 1.55
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 1.50
# Clean Sheets: 1

Monza

Average Expected Goals (xG): 0.71
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA): 2.65
# Clean Sheets: 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the highly anticipated Serie A clash between Juventus and Monza, Juventus is the overwhelming favorite with a 96.0% probability of securing a victory. The predicted outcome leans heavily towards the home team triumphing, with a modest 41.0% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, suggesting a low-scoring affair. Juventus currently sits in 5th place, battling for a top-four finish, while Monza languishes at the bottom of the league table.

Match Analysis

Juventus comes into this match with a mixed bag of results from their last three games. They managed a home win against Lecce, but were held to a draw by Roma and suffered a surprising defeat away at Parma. These performances highlight some inconsistencies, but they have generally shown resilience in tight matches, as evidenced by their average of 1.2 goals scored per game and maintaining a respectable defense with only 1.0 goals conceded on average. On the other hand, Monza's recent form has been concerning, with three consecutive losses. Their defense has been particularly porous, conceding an average of 3.2 goals per game in their last five matches. The visitors have struggled both offensively and defensively, with their goal-scoring average sitting at a mere 0.6 per game. These metrics underline the uphill battle they face against a much more formidable Juventus side.

Final Prediction

Juventus holds a significant edge over Monza, primarily due to their superior form and home advantage. The Turin giants' defensive solidity and ability to grind out results gives them a clear path to victory. A key factor to watch will be Juventus' ability to break down Monza's defense, which has been vulnerable throughout the season. Football fans can expect Juventus to capitalize on Monza's defensive lapses and secure a much-needed win in their quest for a Champions League spot.