Serie A 2025-2026: Torino vs Genoa Prediction
Torino
Home Team
39%
VS
Genoa
Away Team
34%
Draw: 27%
Over 2.5:
47%
Under 2.5:
53%
Goal:
55%
No Goal:
45%
Current Standings
| Pos | Team | Pl | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milan | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Roma | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Bologna | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 13 |
| 6 | Como | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Atalanta | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 11 | Udinese | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | Lazio | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 8 |
| 13 | Cagliari | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3 |
| 20 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 3 |
Recent Trends
Torino
- Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 3 - 3)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 4th Last Match: vs Atalanta (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 5th Last Match: vs Roma (Goals: 1 - 0)
Genoa
- Last Match: vs Parma (Goals: 0 - 0)
- 2nd Last Match: vs Napoli (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 3rd Last Match: vs Lazio (Goals: 0 - 3)
- 4th Last Match: vs Bologna (Goals: 1 - 2)
- 5th Last Match: vs Como (Goals: 1 - 1)
Advanced Metrics (Last 5 games)
Torino
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.42
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.53
# Clean Sheets:
2
Genoa
Average Expected Goals (xG):
1.34
Average Expected Goals Against (xGA):
1.74
# Clean Sheets:
1
Key Prediction Insights
In an intriguing Serie A matchup, Torino is slightly favored to win against Genoa with a 39.0% probability. The game is expected to be low scoring, with a predicted result under 2.5 goals. Torino currently sits in 14th place, while Genoa is struggling at 19th, dangerously close to the relegation zone.
Match Analysis
Torino enters the game with mixed recent performances, including a notable 1-0 victory over Napoli at home, a draw against Lazio where they scored three goals, and a narrow loss to Parma. This inconsistency is reflected in their advanced metrics; while they maintain a solid defensive record with two clean sheets in the last five games, their average goals scored is just 0.33 per match, indicating struggles in converting chances despite an expected goals average of 1.42.
Genoa, on the other hand, is yet to find their rhythm this season, with no wins so far. Their last three games included a goalless draw with Parma and back-to-back losses against Napoli and Lazio. Genoa's defense has been more porous, conceding an average of 1.67 goals per game, while their offense has been slightly more productive than Torino's, averaging one goal per game. However, their expected goals conceded is higher at 1.74, hinting at potential vulnerabilities at the back.
Final Prediction
Torino's recent victory against a top team like Napoli and their home advantage could give them the edge over Genoa. Their ability to keep clean sheets could be crucial in a game predicted to be low scoring. Football fans should keep an eye on Torino's ability to capitalize on their chances, as their expected goals suggest they can create opportunities, even if they haven't always converted them recently.