Genoa
Serie A · ELO profile, season forecast & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per matchday: the club's ELO rating after that round. Top-flight ratings are season-scoped (every club re-seeds at the start of a season, then the rating updates after every result), so trajectories are shown one season at a time. Second-division ratings carry over between seasons with regression to the mean. Hover a point for the date and league position behind it.
Season simulation
2026-27 season forecast
Projected: #16 of 20 39.1 expected pts · currently 4 pts after 6 matches
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date (the dashed stretch covers rounds still to be played). Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
2025-26: what the model simulated, and what happened
Final: #16 of 20 in Serie A 41 pts · 10W-11D-17L · GD -10
The line is the club's average finishing position across 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations, re-run at each date. Lower is better.
Full Serie A simulation: every club's odds and the complete rank timeline →
How predictable is Genoa?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 31 predicted matches
We grade every match forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade. Say 70% and it does not, bad grade, and the more confident we were, the bigger the penalty. Averaged over the season, Genoa's results were 1.7% easier to call than the Serie A average. How this is measured.
| Market | Genoa | League avg |
|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | 51.6% | 52.9% |
| Under/Over 2.5 goals | 29.0% | 52.3% |
| Both teams to score | 58.1% | 48.0% |
Share of predicted matches our as-published prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average over the same season.
Season by season
| Season | League | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 | Serie A | #18 | 1467 | 1467 | 1432 |
| 2025-26 | Serie A | #15 | 1498 | 1501 | 1451 |
| 2024-25 | Serie A | #11 | 1498 | 1527 | 1474 |
| 2023-24 | Serie A | #10 | 1466 | 1529 | 1529 |
| 2022-23 | Serie B | #2 | 1533 | 1687 | 1684 |
| 2021-22 | Serie A | #19 | 1477 | 1483 | 1370 |
| 2020-21 | Serie A | #10 | 1522 | 1522 | 1502 |
| 2019-20 | Serie A | #14 | 1502 | 1518 | 1449 |
| 2018-19 | Serie A | #16 | 1520 | 1524 | 1417 |
| 2017-18 | Serie A | #16 | 1502 | 1532 | 1412 |
| 2016-17 | Serie A | #17 | 1520 | 1550 | 1373 |
| 2015-16 | Serie A | #12 | 1482 | 1519 | 1467 |
| 2014-15 | Serie A | #6 | 1471 | 1604 | 1560 |
ELO position is the rating rank inside the league at the last computed matchday of that season.
Recent matches: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | vs Fiorentina | L Genoa 33.8% · draw 26.8% | W ✗ |
Reuse this data · CC BY 4.0
The Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings dataset is free to reuse, including commercially, under CC BY 4.0. Attribution with a link is the only requirement. Copy-paste credit:
Data: <a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/genoa">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a> (CC BY 4.0)Or embed the live, self-updating widget (the credit link is built in):
<iframe src="https://www.predixsport.com/embed/title-odds/serie_a"
width="360" height="430" style="border:0;border-radius:10px" loading="lazy"
title="Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings · Predixsport"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.predixsport.com/football/clubs/genoa">Serie A title odds & club ELO ratings by Predixsport</a>