NBA 2025-2026: Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

Memphis Grizzlies

Home Team
37.2%
113.5 pts
VS

Denver Nuggets

Away Team
62.8%
115.5 pts

Key Prediction Insights

The Denver Nuggets are favored to win their upcoming matchup against the Memphis Grizzlies, with a predicted probability of 62.8%. The anticipated scoreline suggests a close contest, with the Nuggets expected to edge out the Grizzlies 115.5 to 113.5. The expected starting five for the Memphis Grizzlies includes Cedric Coward, Jaylen Wells, Vince Williams Jr., Jaren Jackson Jr., and Zach Edey. For the Denver Nuggets, the starting lineup is predicted to feature Jamal Murray, Peyton Watson, Spencer Jones, Cameron Johnson, and Nikola Jokić.

Game Analysis

Both teams enter this encounter with mixed results from their recent games. The Memphis Grizzlies have shown resilience with two wins and a loss in their last three games, notably dominating the Sacramento Kings with a score of 137-96. Their defense was a key factor in their victories, holding opponents to under 100 points in two of the three games. On the other hand, the Denver Nuggets have won two of their last three, including a close victory against the Houston Rockets, with a score of 112-109, indicating their ability to perform under pressure. Examining the starting lineups, the Grizzlies boast a varied offensive arsenal, with Zach Edey leading the team in offensive rating (139.2) and Jaren Jackson Jr. contributing substantially with an average of 17.87 points per game. Meanwhile, the Nuggets are spearheaded by Nikola Jokić, who commands a remarkable offensive rating of 144.1 and an average of 30.38 points per game, making him a formidable threat. Defensively, both teams have room for improvement, with the Grizzlies' Zach Edey standing out due to his solid defensive rating of 97.2.

Final Prediction

The Denver Nuggets are projected to have the upper hand due to their robust offensive capabilities, particularly through Nikola Jokić’s superior performance. The key factor to watch in this matchup will be how the Grizzlies’ defense can withstand the offensive prowess of Jokić and whether they can capitalize on any defensive lapses from the Nuggets. This clash promises to be an exciting battle of strategic plays and individual brilliance.