Sacramento Kings
Western Conference · ELO profile, season simulation & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, including playoffs. NBA ratings are season-scoped in our engine (every team re-seeds at 1500 each October, then the rating updates after every game), so trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position.
How predictable are the Sacramento Kings?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 75 predicted games
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, the Sacramento Kings were 3.5% easier to call than the NBA average. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | NBA avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 75 | 77.3% | 67.4% | 73.5% (NBA 80.1%) |
| 2024-25 | 75 | 61.3% | 67.3% | 64.3% (NBA 75.5%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 the Sacramento Kings won 13 games as a clear underdog (we gave them under 35%) and lost 0 as a clear favorite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 82 | #25 | 1491 | 1501 | 1345 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | #18 | 1489 | 1541 | 1489 |
| 2023-24 | 82 | #13 | 1512 | 1566 | 1532 |
| 2022-23 | 89 | #12 | 1489 | 1598 | 1536 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | #24 | 1511 | 1512 | 1403 |
| 2020-21 | 72 | #22 | 1511 | 1520 | 1448 |
| 2019-20 | 72 | #19 | 1488 | 1501 | 1486 |
| 2018-19 | 82 | #19 | 1489 | 1533 | 1452 |
| 2017-18 | 82 | #23 | 1490 | 1500 | 1386 |
| 2016-17 | 82 | #24 | 1512 | 1512 | 1425 |
| 2015-16 | 82 | #22 | 1489 | 1508 | 1426 |
| 2014-15 | 82 | #25 | 1488 | 1540 | 1394 |
| 2013-14 | 82 | #23 | 1509 | 1509 | 1404 |
| 2012-13 | 82 | #23 | 1490 | 1490 | 1401 |
| 2011-12 | 66 | #25 | 1510 | 1510 | 1400 |
| 2010-11 | 82 | #24 | 1511 | 1520 | 1414 |
| 2009-10 | 82 | #28 | 1490 | 1512 | 1336 |
| 2008-09 | 82 | #30 | 1491 | 1491 | 1280 |
| 2007-08 | 82 | #16 | 1490 | 1511 | 1492 |
| 2006-07 | 82 | #21 | 1490 | 1529 | 1416 |
| 2005-06 | 88 | #7 | 1488 | 1595 | 1578 |
| 2004-05 | 87 | #13 | 1490 | 1608 | 1535 |
| 2003-04 | 94 | #6 | 1510 | 1664 | 1615 |
| 2002-03 | 94 | #2 | 1512 | 1700 | 1670 |
| 2001-02 | 98 | #2 | 1510 | 1713 | 1691 |
| 2000-01 | 90 | #4 | 1512 | 1660 | 1612 |
| 1999-00 | 87 | #13 | 1509 | 1573 | 1521 |
| 1998-99 | 55 | #11 | 1489 | 1556 | 1540 |
| 1997-98 | 82 | #24 | 1490 | 1494 | 1323 |
| 1996-97 | 82 | #19 | 1490 | 1502 | 1433 |
GP counts every game in the corpus including playoffs. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank at the last computed game day of that season. Start, Peak and End are ELO values within the season (each season re-seeds at 1500).
Covered players: projection predictability
| Player | Pos | Starts | Predictability score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keegan Murray | PF | 22 | 12.4 |
| Zach LaVine | SG | 30 | 10.1 |
| Nique Clifford | SG | 27 | 7.3 |
| Maxime Raynaud | C | 56 | 7.0 |
| Precious Achiuwa | – | 57 | 6.0 |
| DeMar DeRozan | SF | 70 | 5.1 |
| Russell Westbrook | PG | 55 | 3.4 |
| De'Andre Hunter | SF | 21 | 1.1 |
Every Sacramento Kings player with a predictability profile: started games only, 20-start minimum. The score measures how well our projections call the player's points and rebounds against a naive rolling average (higher is more predictable). Players without projection coverage are not listed.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | at Portland Trail Blazers | L Sacramento Kings 17.6% | L 110-122 ✓ |
| Apr 10, 2026 | vs Golden State Warriors | L Sacramento Kings 21.9% | W 124-118 ✗ |
| Apr 07, 2026 | at Golden State Warriors | L Sacramento Kings 22.5% | L 105-110 ✓ |
| Apr 05, 2026 | vs Los Angeles Clippers | L Sacramento Kings 17.2% | L 109-138 ✓ |
| Apr 03, 2026 | vs New Orleans Pelicans | L Sacramento Kings 23.5% | W 117-113 ✗ |
| Apr 01, 2026 | at Toronto Raptors | L Sacramento Kings 8.6% | W 123-115 ✗ |
| Mar 29, 2026 | at Brooklyn Nets | L Sacramento Kings 36.6% | L 99-116 ✓ |
| Mar 28, 2026 | at Atlanta Hawks | L Sacramento Kings 9.6% | L 113-123 ✓ |
| Mar 26, 2026 | at Orlando Magic | L Sacramento Kings 11.7% | L 117-121 ✓ |
| Mar 24, 2026 | at Charlotte Hornets | L Sacramento Kings 7.1% | L 90-134 ✓ |
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