NBA 2025-2026: Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks: Winner probability, Total Points & Spread

Washington is 2-1 over its last three games, with wins 116-112 over Sacramento and 109-99 over Milwaukee and a lopsided 111-142 loss to Los Angeles. Those results show they can score (116, 109) but also be vulnerable, as evidenced by the 142 allowed in the Lakers game. New York comes in hotter, riding a three-game win streak — 112-100, 127-97, and 119-92 — and has outscored recent opponents by large margins. Looking at the expected starting fives, Washington’s five average to an offensive rating of 107.70 and a defensive rating of 120.06, with an average 12.66 points made per starter. The Knicks’ projected starters average an offensive rating of 121.42 and a defensive rating of 113.58, with an average 18.33 points made per starter. Those gaps — especially on offense and starter scoring — favor New York controlling tempo and keeping consistent scoring runs.