New York Knicks
Eastern Conference · ELO profile, season simulation & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, including playoffs. NBA ratings are season-scoped in our engine (every team re-seeds at 1500 each October, then the rating updates after every game), so trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position.
How predictable are the New York Knicks?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 95 predicted games
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, the New York Knicks were 3.6% easier to call than the NBA average. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | NBA avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 95 | 68.4% | 67.4% | 86.7% (NBA 80.1%) |
| 2024-25 | 94 | 61.7% | 67.3% | 70.2% (NBA 75.5%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 the New York Knicks won 1 games as a clear underdog (we gave them under 35%) and lost 5 as a clear favorite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 101 | #1 | 1510 | 1738 | 1738 |
| 2024-25 | 100 | #8 | 1489 | 1615 | 1605 |
| 2023-24 | 95 | #7 | 1489 | 1617 | 1581 |
| 2022-23 | 93 | #6 | 1491 | 1607 | 1579 |
| 2021-22 | 82 | #19 | 1509 | 1539 | 1482 |
| 2020-21 | 77 | #11 | 1490 | 1586 | 1554 |
| 2019-20 | 66 | #23 | 1490 | 1490 | 1398 |
| 2018-19 | 82 | #30 | 1511 | 1511 | 1291 |
| 2017-18 | 82 | #25 | 1489 | 1527 | 1368 |
| 2016-17 | 82 | #25 | 1488 | 1530 | 1392 |
| 2015-16 | 82 | #26 | 1513 | 1522 | 1392 |
| 2014-15 | 82 | #29 | 1487 | 1507 | 1285 |
| 2013-14 | 82 | #17 | 1510 | 1522 | 1522 |
| 2012-13 | 94 | #8 | 1512 | 1634 | 1590 |
| 2011-12 | 71 | #12 | 1509 | 1571 | 1546 |
| 2010-11 | 86 | #18 | 1511 | 1564 | 1474 |
| 2009-10 | 82 | #23 | 1489 | 1489 | 1393 |
| 2008-09 | 82 | #23 | 1509 | 1525 | 1414 |
| 2007-08 | 82 | #27 | 1490 | 1510 | 1325 |
| 2006-07 | 82 | #24 | 1511 | 1511 | 1410 |
| 2005-06 | 82 | #29 | 1490 | 1490 | 1339 |
| 2004-05 | 82 | #22 | 1490 | 1525 | 1419 |
| 2003-04 | 86 | #20 | 1489 | 1522 | 1454 |
| 2002-03 | 82 | #20 | 1490 | 1496 | 1471 |
| 2001-02 | 82 | #23 | 1509 | 1522 | 1397 |
| 2000-01 | 87 | #16 | 1487 | 1580 | 1522 |
| 1999-00 | 98 | #6 | 1510 | 1615 | 1596 |
| 1998-99 | 70 | #4 | 1490 | 1618 | 1604 |
| 1997-98 | 92 | #14 | 1512 | 1580 | 1512 |
| 1996-97 | 92 | #4 | 1511 | 1682 | 1650 |
GP counts every game in the corpus including playoffs. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank at the last computed game day of that season. Start, Peak and End are ELO values within the season (each season re-seeds at 1500).
Covered players: projection predictability
| Player | Pos | Starts | Predictability score |
|---|---|---|---|
| OG Anunoby | PF | 78 | 5.5 |
| Jalen Brunson | PG | 87 | 5.0 |
| Josh Hart | SG | 71 | 3.0 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | C | 88 | 3.0 |
| Mikal Bridges | SF | 95 | 1.9 |
Every New York Knicks player with a predictability profile: started games only, 20-start minimum. The score measures how well our projections call the player's points and rebounds against a naive rolling average (higher is more predictable). Players without projection coverage are not listed.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | at San Antonio Spurs | L New York Knicks 35.6% | W 94-90 ✗ |
| Jun 10, 2026 | vs San Antonio Spurs | W New York Knicks 56.5% | W 107-106 ✓ |
| Jun 08, 2026 | vs San Antonio Spurs | W New York Knicks 52.8% | L 111-115 ✗ |
| Jun 05, 2026 | at San Antonio Spurs | L New York Knicks 36.0% | W 105-104 ✗ |
| Jun 03, 2026 | at San Antonio Spurs | L New York Knicks 44.5% | W 105-95 ✗ |
| May 25, 2026 | at Cleveland Cavaliers | L New York Knicks 38.0% | W 130-93 ✗ |
| May 23, 2026 | at Cleveland Cavaliers | L New York Knicks 35.8% | W 121-108 ✗ |
| May 21, 2026 | vs Cleveland Cavaliers | W New York Knicks 58.8% | W 109-93 ✓ |
| May 19, 2026 | vs Cleveland Cavaliers | W New York Knicks 70.2% | W 115-104 ✓ |
| May 10, 2026 | at Philadelphia 76ers | W New York Knicks 58.4% | W 144-114 ✓ |
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