Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction

NBA 2026-2027 · 2026-11-08

Chicago Bulls

Home Team
23.4%
VS

Philadelphia 76ers

Away Team
76.6%
2026-2027 Season

Why the Model Favors Philadelphia 76ers

The factors that drove this prediction, measured in win-probability points.

Starting five +31.8 Philadelphia 76ers
Home-court advantage +7.6 Chicago Bulls
Season record & ratings +4.4 Philadelphia 76ers
Home/road record +3.1 Philadelphia 76ers
Recent team form +1.9 Chicago Bulls

Starting from an even matchup, these factors move the model to 77% for Philadelphia 76ers. Computed with gradient-based attribution on our neural network, not editorial opinion. How to read this →

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Player Projections

AI-powered statistical projections for tonight's starters. Click a player to view their full probability distributions.

HOME Chicago Bulls
PTS 5.6 REB 2.9 AST 1.1 3PM 0.3
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 19.0 REB 6.8 AST 3.1 3PM 2.4
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 12.1 REB 5.0 AST 6.8 3PM 1.4
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 13.9 REB 5.2 AST 2.5 3PM 1.6
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 19.6 REB 3.8 AST 2.3 3PM 2.1
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
AWAY Philadelphia 76ers
PTS 19.1 REB 8.7 AST 4.0 3PM 1.2
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 20.2 REB 6.5 AST 3.8 3PM 2.1
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 16.4 REB 7.4 AST 6.5 3PM 1.5
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 24.3 REB 4.4 AST 5.1 3PM 2.8
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
PTS 13.3 REB 6.3 AST 2.9 3PM 1.8
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Points > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Rebounds > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(Assists > X)
Distribution (PDF)
Cumulative Probability: P(3-Pointers Made > X)
View All Player Projections

Starting Five Matchup

PG
Nic Claxton
OR
0.0
DR
0.0
PTS
0.0
VS
Joel Embiid
OR
95.8
DR
103.8
PTS
17.9
SG
Caleb Wilson
OR
99.4
DR
121.0
PTS
19.5
VS
Jaylen Brown
OR
112.1
DR
108.3
PTS
21.6
SF
Josh Giddey
OR
105.8
DR
126.4
PTS
9.2
VS
LeBron James
OR
101.4
DR
102.5
PTS
14.8
PF
Matas Buzelis
OR
98.4
DR
125.0
PTS
12.9
VS
Tyrese Maxey
OR
117.3
DR
108.1
PTS
26.9
C
Norman Powell
OR
115.1
DR
124.6
PTS
19.2
VS
VJ Edgecombe
OR
109.4
DR
105.4
PTS
13.2
OR = Offensive Rating · DR = Defensive Rating (lower is better) · PTS = Avg Points Per Game

Key Prediction Insights

Philadelphia is favored to win with 77% probability, a strong lean toward the visitors. Chicago is expected to start Nic Claxton, Caleb Wilson, Josh Giddey, Matas Buzelis and Norman Powell, while Philadelphia’s five is Joel Embiid, Jaylen Brown, LeBron James, Tyrese Maxey and VJ Edgecombe.

Total Points and Spread Analysis

The projected 240 combined points point to a high-scoring game. Philadelphia’s expected seven-point win suggests a comfortable margin rather than a close finish.

🏀 Total Points Predictions

🏀
Expected Total Points in Game 240.1 Most likely outcome: 240 points
📊 Total Points Probability Distribution
Distribution

Probability of each total points outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of total points ≤ X

📈 Spread Predictions

📈
Expected Spread (Chicago Bulls - Philadelphia 76ers) -6.7 Most likely outcome: -7 points
📊 Spread Probability Distribution
Distribution

Probability of each spread outcome

Cumulative Probability (CDF)

Probability of spread ≤ X

New to probability charts? Learn how to interpret distribution and CDF curves

ELO Rating Trends

Over the last five games, Chicago’s rating has fallen by 37 points, while Philadelphia’s has risen by 15, giving the 76ers the stronger momentum.

Chicago Bulls

1438.6 -37.2 over 5 games
Date Opponent ELO Change
2026-11-04 New York Knicks 1438.6 -10.3
2026-11-02 Philadelphia 76ers 1448.9 -7.8
2026-10-30 Boston Celtics 1456.7 -8.6
2026-10-28 New York Knicks 1465.3 -10.5
2026-10-26 Boston Celtics 1475.8 -

Philadelphia 76ers

1550.3 +14.8 over 5 games
Date Opponent ELO Change
2026-11-06 Cleveland Cavaliers 1550.3 -13.4
2026-11-04 Detroit Pistons 1563.7 +11.0
2026-11-02 Chicago Bulls 1552.7 +7.8
2026-10-31 Charlotte Hornets 1544.9 +9.4
2026-10-30 New York Knicks 1535.5 -

NBA ELO Power Rankings

Curious how these teams stack up league-wide? Check the full ELO standings, progression charts, and conference breakdowns.

View Full ELO Standings

Recent Form: Last 5 Games

Chicago Bulls

0-5 in last 5
L L L L L
Opponent PF PA Diff
New York Knicks 105 135 -30
Philadelphia 76ers 107 126 -19
Boston Celtics 111 125 -14
New York Knicks 127 133 -6
Boston Celtics 99 134 -35

Philadelphia 76ers

4-1 in last 5
L W W W W
Opponent PF PA Diff
Cleveland Cavaliers 95 119 -24
Detroit Pistons 112 106 +6
Chicago Bulls 126 107 +19
Charlotte Hornets 109 104 +5
New York Knicks 98 93 +5

Game Analysis

Philadelphia’s expected starting group is the clearest separation: it offers more scoring across the lineup, led by Tyrese Maxey at 27 points per game. Chicago’s expected starters have less production overall, so the Bulls may struggle to keep pace if the 76ers’ main options score to form. Season and home-road indicators also favor Philadelphia, even with Chicago hosting. The Bulls have lost three straight, including a 19-point defeat to Philadelphia last week. Home court is their clearest offset.

Final Prediction

Chicago’s route to an upset is for Norman Powell to turn his 19-point average into efficient scoring and make Philadelphia answer at the other end. If he cannot, the Bulls lack an obvious counterweight to the visitors’ stronger starting group.

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