Philadelphia 76ers
Eastern Conference · ELO profile, season simulation & model record
Season ELO trajectory
One point per game day: the team's ELO rating after that day's result, including playoffs. NBA ratings are season-scoped in our engine (every team re-seeds at 1500 each October, then the rating updates after every game), so trajectories are shown one season at a time and seasons are compared through their peak and final values in the table below. Hover a point for the date and the team's league-wide ELO position.
How predictable are the Philadelphia 76ers?
In line with the league 2025-26 · 87 predicted games
We grade every game forecast like a weather forecast: say 70% and it happens, good grade; say 70% and it does not, bad grade, with bigger penalties the more confident we were. Averaged over the season, the Philadelphia 76ers were 3.2% easier to call than the NBA average. How this is measured.
| Season | Games | Winner acc | NBA avg | Confident calls (≥65%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 87 | 69.0% | 67.4% | 85.7% (NBA 80.1%) |
| 2024-25 | 76 | 68.4% | 67.3% | 80.0% (NBA 75.5%) |
Share of predicted games our published game-day prediction called correctly, next to the league-wide average of the same season. In 2025-26 the Philadelphia 76ers won 3 games as a clear underdog (we gave them under 35%) and lost 2 as a clear favorite (65% or more).
Season by season
| Season | GP | Pos | Start | Peak | End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 93 | #16 | 1511 | 1561 | 1528 |
| 2024-25 | 82 | #27 | 1488 | 1496 | 1306 |
| 2023-24 | 88 | #15 | 1491 | 1598 | 1529 |
| 2022-23 | 93 | #2 | 1490 | 1665 | 1637 |
| 2021-22 | 94 | #8 | 1512 | 1630 | 1598 |
| 2020-21 | 84 | #4 | 1510 | 1641 | 1619 |
| 2019-20 | 77 | #14 | 1510 | 1604 | 1517 |
| 2018-19 | 94 | #7 | 1489 | 1619 | 1592 |
| 2017-18 | 92 | #3 | 1491 | 1658 | 1622 |
| 2016-17 | 82 | #28 | 1489 | 1489 | 1373 |
| 2015-16 | 82 | #30 | 1489 | 1489 | 1233 |
| 2014-15 | 82 | #28 | 1490 | 1490 | 1294 |
| 2013-14 | 82 | #29 | 1510 | 1529 | 1276 |
| 2012-13 | 82 | #19 | 1510 | 1527 | 1441 |
| 2011-12 | 79 | #13 | 1491 | 1586 | 1539 |
| 2010-11 | 87 | #15 | 1489 | 1562 | 1496 |
| 2009-10 | 82 | #24 | 1490 | 1511 | 1373 |
| 2008-09 | 88 | #17 | 1488 | 1551 | 1491 |
| 2007-08 | 88 | #14 | 1490 | 1569 | 1511 |
| 2006-07 | 82 | #16 | 1510 | 1530 | 1496 |
| 2005-06 | 82 | #20 | 1489 | 1526 | 1451 |
| 2004-05 | 87 | #15 | 1511 | 1537 | 1520 |
| 2003-04 | 82 | #23 | 1510 | 1519 | 1407 |
| 2002-03 | 94 | #8 | 1490 | 1592 | 1552 |
| 2001-02 | 87 | #13 | 1490 | 1557 | 1518 |
| 2000-01 | 105 | #6 | 1513 | 1643 | 1595 |
| 1999-00 | 92 | #7 | 1490 | 1608 | 1594 |
| 1998-99 | 58 | #14 | 1512 | 1564 | 1533 |
| 1997-98 | 82 | #21 | 1488 | 1488 | 1445 |
| 1996-97 | 82 | #24 | 1489 | 1502 | 1337 |
GP counts every game in the corpus including playoffs. Pos is the team's league-wide ELO rank at the last computed game day of that season. Start, Peak and End are ELO values within the season (each season re-seeds at 1500).
Covered players: projection predictability
| Player | Pos | Starts | Predictability score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid | C | 41 | 11.8 |
| Andre Drummond | C | 26 | 10.8 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | SF | 46 | 9.8 |
| Paul George | PF | 48 | 9.0 |
| VJ Edgecombe | SG | 80 | 5.9 |
| Tyrese Maxey | PG | 75 | 5.1 |
| Dominick Barlow | SF | 57 | -2.1 |
Every Philadelphia 76ers player with a predictability profile: started games only, 20-start minimum. The score measures how well our projections call the player's points and rebounds against a naive rolling average (higher is more predictable). Players without projection coverage are not listed.
Recent games: model vs reality
| Date | Opponent | Model said | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | vs New York Knicks | L Philadelphia 76ers 41.6% | L 114-144 ✓ |
| May 08, 2026 | vs New York Knicks | L Philadelphia 76ers 44.4% | L 94-108 ✓ |
| May 06, 2026 | at New York Knicks | L Philadelphia 76ers 11.4% | L 102-108 ✓ |
| May 04, 2026 | at New York Knicks | L Philadelphia 76ers 19.4% | L 98-137 ✓ |
| May 02, 2026 | at Boston Celtics | L Philadelphia 76ers 36.5% | W 109-100 ✗ |
| Apr 30, 2026 | vs Boston Celtics | L Philadelphia 76ers 40.7% | W 106-93 ✗ |
| Apr 28, 2026 | at Boston Celtics | L Philadelphia 76ers 24.6% | W 113-97 ✗ |
| Apr 26, 2026 | vs Boston Celtics | L Philadelphia 76ers 38.0% | L 96-128 ✓ |
| Apr 24, 2026 | vs Boston Celtics | W Philadelphia 76ers 53.5% | L 100-108 ✗ |
| Apr 21, 2026 | at Boston Celtics | L Philadelphia 76ers 22.3% | W 111-97 ✗ |
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