Hangzhou China Hard Atp 250 Round of 32

Adam Walton vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

Adam Walton

Rank: #76
41%
VS

Sebastian Korda

Rank: #79
59%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Korda

Ranking Trends

Adam Walton

  • Current Rank: #76 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #86 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #89 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #93 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #94 (2024-09-16)

Sebastian Korda

  • Current Rank: #79 (2025-09-15)
  • 3 Months Ago: #26 (2025-06-16)
  • 6 Months Ago: #25 (2025-03-17)
  • 9 Months Ago: #22 (2024-12-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #15 (2024-09-16)

Player Metrics

Adam Walton

Form Index: 45.0
ELO Rating: 861.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1571.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.1
Clay: 5.7
Grass: 4.6
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 86.8

Sebastian Korda

Form Index: 43.6
ELO Rating: 1637.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1666.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.9
Clay: 15.2
Grass: 18.3
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 85.4

Recent Matches

Adam Walton
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Coleman Wong (1-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Ugo Humbert (3-1) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Botic van de Zandschulp (1-2) hard Winston Salem 149 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Jiri Lehecka (0-2) hard Cincinnati 114 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Cincinnati 141 min

Sebastian Korda
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (0-2) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Miomir Kecmanovic (2-0) hard Winston Salem 68 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-1) hard Winston Salem 128 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Vit Kopriva (2-0) hard Winston Salem 83 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Adam Walton
vs
0
Sebastian Korda
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the ATP 250 tournament in Hangzhou, China, Adam Walton faces Sebastian Korda on a hard court surface. The match is expected to be competitive, with Korda being the predicted winner, holding a 59.29% probability of victory compared to Walton's 40.71%. The anticipated total number of games played is around 23.

Match Analysis

Adam Walton enters the match ranked 76th with a form index of 45.01 and an Elo rating of approximately 861.55. His surface strength index of 8.14 indicates a decent performance on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 97.06 suggests a strong serving capability. However, his mean return index of 86.81 shows he may struggle against strong opponents' serves. Walton's recent performances include a challenging loss to Coleman Wong and a notable win against Ugo Humbert, indicating inconsistency but also potential to perform well. On the other hand, Sebastian Korda, ranked 79th, presents a more formidable challenge, with an Elo rating of 1637.44 and a surface strength index of 13.92, reflecting his ability to adapt well on hard surfaces. His mean serve index of 95.48 and mean return index of 85.39 show he is competitive in both aspects of his game. Korda's recent matches include a loss to Cameron Norrie, but he secured a strong victory against Miomir Kecmanovic, suggesting an ability to bounce back quickly.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Korda has an edge due to his higher Elo rating and stronger surface performance, which can significantly impact his play on hard courts. A key factor to watch will be his ability to handle Walton's serve, as the match could hinge on Korda's return performance against Walton's strong serve.