Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #26
53%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #59
47%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Player Metrics

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 68.0
ELO Rating: 1536.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1702.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.8
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.3
Serve Rating: 96.1
Return Rating: 87.2

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 55.6
ELO Rating: 1279.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1638.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 73.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.4
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.4
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.7

Recent Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (2-0) hard Washington 79 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (2-1) hard Washington 184 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (2-0) hard Washington 70 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-0) hard Washington 87 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs James Duckworth (0-2) hard Los Cabos 87 min

Corentin Moutet

  • Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) hard Toronto 73 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Washington 104 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniil Medvedev (2-1) hard Washington 145 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Daniel Evans (2-0) hard Washington 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (1-0) hard Washington 57 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
vs
0
Corentin Moutet
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match at the Toronto Masters 1000 in Canada features Alejandro Davidovich Fokina facing off against Corentin Moutet in the Round of 64. The predicted winner is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, who has a win probability of 52.64%, while Moutet's probability stands at 47.36%. The expected total number of games played is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina currently holds the 26th rank with a solid form index of 68.00 and an Elo rating of 1536.79. His surface strength index of 11.80 indicates a proficiency on hard courts, complemented by a mean serve index of 96.13 and a mean return index of 87.18. Notably, Davidovich Fokina's serve index is higher than Moutet's by more than 5 points, which may play a crucial role in his service games. On the other hand, Corentin Moutet is ranked 59th and has a form index of 55.56, with an Elo rating of 1279.80. His fatigue level is notably higher at 73 minutes, which could impact his performance. Moutet's mean serve index is 94.90, while his return index of 88.66 is slightly better than Davidovich Fokina's, albeit not by a significant margin. Looking at recent performances, Davidovich Fokina has won all three of his last matches in Washington, showcasing his current form by defeating opponents such as Ben Shelton and Taylor Fritz. In contrast, Moutet's recent form has been mixed; he achieved a victory against Jenson Brooksby but faced defeat against Alex de Minaur earlier in Washington. The inconsistency in Moutet's recent matches could be a significant factor in this matchup.

Final Prediction

Davidovich Fokina appears to have the upper hand, primarily due to his higher serve index and recent winning streak. A key factor to monitor during the match will be how effectively Moutet can handle Davidovich Fokina's serve, especially considering his current fatigue level.