Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Damir Dzumhur: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Davidovich Fokina arrives with the higher ranking (23) and the stronger Elo (1698.7) versus Dzumhur (87; Elo 1543.0). His form index (34.61) is marginally ahead of Dzumhur’s (32.58), and his surface strength index on clay (25.85) notably exceeds Dzumhur’s (12.70), giving him an edge on the slow, high-bounce courts of Paris. Both players show very similar serving and returning profiles—Davidovich’s mean serve index is 95.60 and mean return 92.05, while Dzumhur posts a 94.85 serve index and 90.01 return index—so neither holds a large statistical advantage in pure serving power or returning ability. Neither player carries tournament fatigue into this match (fatigue = 0.0). Recent form underlines the contrast in consistency. Over his last three clay outings Davidovich split results: a win over Corentin Moutet (2–0) in Hamburg, and defeats to Alex de Minaur (1–2, long 159-minute affair in Hamburg) and Andrey Rublev (0–2 in Rome). Dzumhur’s recent clay matches show volatility as well: a solid 2–0 win over Adrian Mannarino in Rome but losses to Learner Tien (0–2) and Tallon Griekspoor (0–2). Davidovich’s higher Elo, better clay index and slightly steadier recent results drive the prediction gap.