Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Learner Tien Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #26
50%
VS

Learner Tien

Rank: #67
50%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Player Metrics

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 55.4
ELO Rating: 1364.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1688.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 87.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.2
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.3
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 86.9

Learner Tien

Form Index: 60.3
ELO Rating: 1097.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1581.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 166.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.4
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.9
Serve Rating: 94.7
Return Rating: 89.0

Recent Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (2-0) hard Washington 87 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs James Duckworth (0-2) hard Los Cabos 87 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Botic van de Zandschulp (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Holt (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Learner Tien

  • Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (2-0) hard Washington 91 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-0) hard Washington 75 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Corentin Moutet (0-2) grass Mallorca 109 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
vs
0
Learner Tien
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the Round of 16 unfolds at the ATP 500 tournament in Washington, DC, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina is set to face Learner Tien on hard courts. With a slight edge, Davidovich Fokina is predicted to win with a probability of 50.25%, while Tien stands at 49.75%. The match is expected to feature around 22 total games.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 26, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina holds a form index of 55.43 and an Elo rating of 1364.84. He has a cumulative fatigue of 87 minutes from his current tournament and a surface strength index of 10.20, indicating his adaptability to hard courts. His mean serve index is recorded at 96.05, while his mean return index is slightly lower at 86.93. In contrast, Learner Tien, ranked 67, boasts a higher form index of 60.29 but holds a lower Elo rating of 1097.93. Tien’s fatigue level is significantly higher at 166 minutes, and his surface strength index is 9.35. Although Tien's mean return index of 88.95 exceeds Davidovich Fokina's by more than 5 points, the difference in their mean serve indices is not significant, with only a slight gap of about 1.33 points. In their recent performances, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has had mixed results, winning his last match against Jaume Munar after two previous losses against James Duckworth and Taylor Fritz. This illustrates a bounce-back potential. Conversely, Learner Tien has shown strong form, securing victories in his last two matches against Emilio Nava and Andrey Rublev, demonstrating momentum and confidence moving into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Davidovich Fokina's slight edge in ranking and his recent victory could offer him the psychological advantage needed to prevail. A key factor to observe will be the effectiveness of both players' serve games, as any momentum shifts could prove crucial in determining the match outcome.