Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Valentin Royer Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #15
65%
VS

Valentin Royer

Rank: #59
35%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Player Metrics

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 63.0
ELO Rating: 1398.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1705.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 11.4
Clay: 10.2
Grass: 7.3
Serve Rating: 96.3
Return Rating: 87.0

Valentin Royer

Form Index: 36.8
ELO Rating: 755.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1573.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 218.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.0
Clay: 2.9
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (0-2) hard Basel 85 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Ugo Humbert (2-0) hard Basel 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (1-0) hard Basel 57 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-1) hard Basel 167 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) hard Basel 122 min

Valentin Royer

  • Last Match: vs Sebastian Korda (1-2) hard Paris 138 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (2-0) hard Paris 80 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (0-2) hard Basel 83 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Raphael Collignon (2-0) hard Basel 92 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (0-2) hard Basel 99 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
vs
0
Valentin Royer
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Paris, Alejandro Davidovich Fokina faces Valentin Royer on hard courts. With a probability of 65.43% to win, Davidovich Fokina is favored over Royer, who has a 34.57% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this match is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina comes into this match ranked 15th in the world with a robust form index of 62.96 and an Elo rating of 1398.31. He demonstrates strong capabilities on hard surfaces, reflected in his surface strength index of 11.35, and has shown impressive serving and returning skills, with mean serve and return indices of 96.27 and 86.97, respectively. Conversely, Valentin Royer, ranked 59th, has a form index of 36.81 and an Elo rating of 755.15. Royer's surface strength index stands at 6.01, indicating he may struggle on hard courts compared to his opponent. The notable difference in their mean serve index (0.48 points) is not significant; however, the return index difference of 1.22 points is marginally in Royer's favor, but still, Davidovich Fokina's overall metrics suggest a more complete game. In their recent performances, Davidovich Fokina has had mixed results, winning 2 out of his last 3 matches, including a straight-sets victory over Ugo Humbert. However, he did experience a setback in his last match against Joao Fonseca. On the other hand, Royer won a match against Pierre-Hugues Herbert but lost his most recent encounter against Sebastian Korda, where he fought for 138 minutes but ultimately fell short.

Final Prediction

Davidovich Fokina holds a clear edge in overall ranking, form, and performance consistency, which is critical in high-stakes matches like this. A key factor to watch will be his serving effectiveness, as strong service games could dictate the flow of the match and put pressure on Royer’s return game.