Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 32

Hugo Dellien vs Alex de Minaur Prediction

Hugo Dellien

Rank: #103
13%
VS

Alex de Minaur

Rank: #8
87%
Predicted Games Played: 21.0
Predicted Winner: Alex de Minaur

Player Metrics

Hugo Dellien

Form Index: 41.9
ELO Rating: 542.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1564.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 370.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 3.9
Clay: 4.7
Grass: 4.0
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 87.4

Alex de Minaur

Form Index: 56.1
ELO Rating: 3078.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1790.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 117.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 22.8
Clay: 30.1
Grass: 31.0
Serve Rating: 94.6
Return Rating: 88.4

Recent Matches

Hugo Dellien

  • Last Match: vs Thiago Seyboth Wild (2-1) clay Rome 135 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Vilius Gaubas (0-2) clay Rome 99 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Marc-Andrea Huesler (2-1) clay Rome 136 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jacob Fearnley (0-2) clay Madrid 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) clay Madrid 101 min

Alex de Minaur

  • Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (2-0) clay Rome 117 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Madrid 83 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Denis Shapovalov (2-0) clay Madrid 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) clay Madrid 75 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Barcelona 99 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Hugo Dellien
vs
0
Alex de Minaur
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, Alex de Minaur is set to face Hugo Dellien on clay. The Australian is heavily favored to win, with an estimated probability of 87.06% compared to Dellien's 12.94%. The match is predicted to be competitive, with a total of approximately 21 games expected to be played.

Match Analysis

Alex de Minaur holds a significant advantage in several key statistics. Ranked 8th in the world, his form index stands at 56.08, reflecting a more consistent performance compared to Dellien, who is ranked 103rd with a form index of 41.93. De Minaur's Elo rating of 3078.23 further illustrates his stronger competitive standing against Dellien's 542.71. Fatigue levels also favor de Minaur, who has only spent 117 minutes on court in this tournament, compared to Dellien's 370 minutes, indicating that Dellien may be more fatigued going into this match. On clay, de Minaur's surface strength index of 30.14 vastly outstrips Dellien's 4.74, showcasing his superior capability on this surface. In their recent performances, de Minaur has demonstrated solid form, winning two of his last three matches, including a convincing victory over Luca Nardi in his latest encounter. Conversely, Dellien's results have been mixed, with a recent win over Thiago Seyboth Wild but a prior loss to Vilius Gaubas, indicating inconsistency. Notably, de Minaur has a marginally better mean return index (88.37) compared to Dellien's (87.41), but both players show a relatively close mean serve index, with de Minaur at 94.60 and Dellien at 96.03, which suggests that service may not be the deciding factor.

Final Prediction

Alex de Minaur's superior ranking, form, and lower fatigue levels give him a clear edge heading into this match against Hugo Dellien. A crucial factor to watch will be how Dellien manages his fatigue and whether he can leverage his serve effectively against de Minaur's returns.