Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Finals

Alexander Bublik vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #45
35%
VS

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #11
65%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

Player Metrics

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 78.3
ELO Rating: 1711.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1684.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 326.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 13.2
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.5

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 64.0
ELO Rating: 3801.1
Glicko2 Rating: 2152.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 330.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 33.9
Clay: 35.9
Grass: 43.2
Serve Rating: 95.2
Return Rating: 87.9

Recent Matches

Alexander Bublik

  • Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (2-1) grass Halle 122 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (2-0) grass Halle 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (2-1) grass Halle 122 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jack Draper (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Daniil Medvedev

  • Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (2-1) grass Halle 179 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alex Michelsen (2-0) grass Halle 85 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Quentin Halys (2-0) grass Halle 66 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 96 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) grass S Hertogenbosch 125 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Bublik
vs
1
Daniil Medvedev
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The finals of the Halle tournament in Germany will feature a grass-court clash between Alexander Bublik and Daniil Medvedev. With a significant difference in their rankings and performance metrics, Medvedev is predicted to win with a probability of 65.24%, while Bublik has a 34.76% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 11th, Daniil Medvedev has a superior form index of 64.00 compared to Alexander Bublik’s 78.30. Medvedev’s Elo rating of 3801.08 further emphasizes his strong position, while Bublik sits at 1711.59. Both players display similar levels of fatigue with Medvedev at 330 minutes and Bublik at 326 minutes, albeit Medvedev holds a significant advantage in his surface strength index at 43.22 versus Bublik’s 13.18. Notably, Medvedev's mean serve index (95.23) is slightly lower than Bublik's (97.01), but the difference in their mean return index (87.89 for Medvedev and 86.47 for Bublik) showcases Medvedev's stronger return game, which is crucial on grass courts. In their recent performances, Bublik has demonstrated resilience by winning all three of his last matches, including a hard-fought victory against Karen Khachanov. Medvedev, on the other hand, also comes off a strong performance, defeating Alexander Zverev in a tightly contested match that lasted 179 minutes. Both players have shown their capability on grass, but Medvedev's victories against tougher opponents might give him the psychological edge.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev's superior ranking, experience on grass, and slightly better return game provide him with a significant edge over Alexander Bublik. The key factor to watch will be how effectively Bublik can leverage his serve to counter Medvedev's return capabilities, which could play a pivotal role in determining the match outcome.