Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Semifinals

Alexander Bublik vs Karen Khachanov Prediction

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #45
46%
VS

Karen Khachanov

Rank: #22
54%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Karen Khachanov

Ranking Trends

Alexander Bublik

  • Current Rank: #45 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #80 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #33 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #27 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #17 (2024-06-17)

Karen Khachanov

  • Current Rank: #22 (2025-06-16)
  • 3 Months Ago: #23 (2025-03-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #19 (2024-12-16)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2024-09-16)
  • 12 Months Ago: #22 (2024-06-17)

Player Metrics

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 77.5
ELO Rating: 1674.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1675.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 204.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 12.4
Serve Rating: 97.0
Return Rating: 86.5

Karen Khachanov

Form Index: 66.4
ELO Rating: 1853.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1749.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 266.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.6
Clay: 18.8
Grass: 17.6
Serve Rating: 95.4
Return Rating: 85.2

Recent Matches

Alexander Bublik
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Machac (2-0) grass Halle 82 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jannik Sinner (2-1) grass Halle 122 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jack Draper (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Henrique Rocha (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Karen Khachanov
✅ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-0) grass Halle 72 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Felix Auger-Aliassime (2-1) grass Halle 100 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) grass Halle 94 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Gabriel Diallo (0-2) grass S Hertogenbosch 112 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Mackenzie McDonald (2-1) grass S Hertogenbosch 151 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alexander Bublik
vs
0
Karen Khachanov
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the semifinals of the ATP 500 tournament in Halle, Germany, Alexander Bublik will face Karen Khachanov on grass. The match is expected to be closely contested, with Khachanov holding a slight edge as the predicted winner, boasting a 53.96% chance of victory compared to Bublik's 46.04%. Analysts anticipate a total of approximately 23 games played during this encounter.

Match Analysis

Both players bring a distinct set of credentials into this match. Alexander Bublik, ranked 45th, has a form index of 77.54 and an Elo rating of 1674.84, showcasing his recent competitive edge. His cumulative fatigue stands at 204 minutes, which is notably lower than Khachanov’s 266 minutes. On the surface, Bublik's strength index of 12.42 is lesser than Khachanov's 17.56, emphasizing Khachanov's better adaptation to grass. While Bublik's mean serve index of 96.98 suggests he has a slight advantage in serving, the difference is marginal, and Khachanov's mean return index of 85.16 places him at a disadvantage in return games compared to Bublik's 86.49. Recent performances reveal that Bublik has been on an upward trajectory, winning his last two matches convincingly against Jannik Sinner and Tomas Machac, demonstrating resilience and skill on grass. Conversely, Khachanov has also shown strong form in Halle, winning all his matches, including against notable opponents such as Felix Auger-Aliassime and Tomas Martin Etcheverry. However, his matches have been slightly longer, which could be a factor in fatigue levels.

Final Prediction

Khachanov's higher rank, better surface strength index, and overall consistency in recent matches give him the edge in this semifinal showdown. A key factor to watch will be how both players manage their fatigue, particularly Khachanov, as they compete in the high-stakes environment of a semifinal on grass.