Halle Germany Grass Atp 500 Quarterfinals

Alexander Bublik vs Tomas Machac Prediction

Alexander Bublik

Rank: #45
41%
VS

Tomas Machac

Rank: #23
59%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Machac

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Ranking Trends

Alexander Bublik

  • Current #45 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #80 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #33 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #27 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #17 2024-06-17

Tomas Machac

  • Current #23 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #21 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #25 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #35 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #36 2024-06-17

Player Metrics

Alexander Bublik

Form Index: 78.0
ELO Rating: 1666.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1669.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 122.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 14.3
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 86.4

Tomas Machac

Form Index: 45.6
ELO Rating: 1411.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1603.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 192.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.5
Clay: 14.0
Grass: 14.5
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 87.5

Recent Matches

Alexander Bublik
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Jannik Sinner (2-1) grass Halle 122 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jannik Sinner (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Jack Draper (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Henrique Rocha (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Alex de Minaur (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Tomas Machac
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) grass Halle 59 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jesper de Jong (2-1) grass Halle 133 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Quentin Halys (0-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (1-2) clay Geneva 105 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Tommy Paul (1-2) clay Rome 143 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Alexander Bublik
vs
0
Tomas Machac
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinals of the Halle tournament in Germany will see Alexander Bublik face off against Tomas Machac on grass. With a predicted total of 23 games played, Machac is favored to win with a probability of 58.88%, while Bublik has a 41.12% chance of emerging victorious.

Match Analysis

Currently ranked 45th, Alexander Bublik boasts a form index of 78.03 and an Elo rating of 1666.21. His cumulative fatigue stands at 122 minutes from the current tournament, which could impact his performance. Bublik has a surface strength index of 12.10, a mean serve index of 96.94, and a mean return index of 86.42. His serve is slightly stronger compared to Machac's, but the difference is negligible. On the other hand, Tomas Machac, ranked 23rd, has a form index of 45.61 and an Elo rating of 1411.33. With cumulative fatigue at 192 minutes, he faces a tougher challenge in terms of stamina. Machac’s surface strength index is slightly higher at 14.51, with a mean serve index of 95.50 and a mean return index of 87.47. Notably, Machac's return index surpasses Bublik's by over 5 points, which may provide him with an advantage in returning serve games. Over their last three matches, Machac has been more consistent, winning two out of three, while Bublik’s recent performances have shown more fluctuation, having lost one of his last three matches.

Final Prediction

Tomas Machac has the edge due to his higher rank, slightly better return capabilities, and recent consistency on grass. The key factor to watch will be Machac's ability to capitalize on Bublik's possible fatigue, especially given the cumulative fatigue levels both players have accumulated in the ongoing tournament.

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