Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 16

Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverev Prediction

Arthur Fils

Rank: #14
34%
VS

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #2
66%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Ranking Trends

Arthur Fils

  • Current Rank: #14 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #19 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #20 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #23 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #34 (2024-05-06)

Alexander Zverev

  • Current Rank: #2 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #2 (2025-02-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #2 (2024-11-04)
  • 9 Months Ago: #4 (2024-08-05)
  • 12 Months Ago: #5 (2024-05-06)

Player Metrics

Arthur Fils

Form Index: 53.6
ELO Rating: 2203.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1677.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 180.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 16.1
Clay: 18.4
Grass: 20.6
Serve Rating: 97.2
Return Rating: 86.8

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 59.4
ELO Rating: 6861.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1884.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 151.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 56.8
Clay: 60.0
Grass: 66.4
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 88.0

Recent Matches

Arthur Fils
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (2-1) clay Rome 113 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) clay Rome 67 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Comesana (0-2) clay Madrid 105 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Carlos Alcaraz (0-2) clay Barcelona 75 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (1-0) clay Barcelona 17 min

Alexander Zverev
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Vilius Gaubas (2-0) clay Rome 85 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-0) clay Rome 66 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Francisco Cerundolo (0-2) clay Madrid 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-1) clay Madrid 164 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Roberto Bautista Agut (2-0) clay Madrid 70 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Arthur Fils
vs
2
Alexander Zverev
Hard
1 - 1
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Rome, clay court specialists Arthur Fils and Alexander Zverev are set to clash. The matchup features Fils, ranked 14th, facing off against the world number 2, Zverev. The prediction favors Zverev with a win probability of 65.64% compared to Fils’ 34.36%, and the expected total number of games played is projected to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Both players bring formidable skills to the court, but Zverev's statistics show a significant advantage. He holds a higher Elo rating (6861.88) compared to Fils' 2203.04, indicating a considerable experience disparity. Zverev also has a form index of 59.39, slightly ahead of Fils' 53.65, suggesting he is in better recent form. Fatigue levels are relatively close, with Zverev at 151 minutes and Fils at 180 minutes. However, Zverev's surface strength index of 60.01 dwarfs Fils' 18.43, emphasizing Zverev's superior performance on clay. When evaluating their serve and return capabilities, Zverev's mean serve index (96.91) is slightly lower than Fils' (97.24), but the difference is marginal. However, Zverev's return index (88.03) surpasses Fils' (86.82) by a notable margin, indicating his ability to effectively counter Fils' serves. This efficiency could play a pivotal role in the match dynamics. In their last three matches, Zverev has shown consistency with two solid victories in Rome, while Fils has faced a more mixed result, losing one match in Madrid before bouncing back in Rome.

Final Prediction

Alexander Zverev's superior ranking, experience, and performance statistics give him a distinct edge heading into this match against Arthur Fils. A key factor to monitor will be Zverev's return game, as his ability to neutralize Fils' serve could greatly influence the outcome of the encounter.