Stuttgart Germany Grass Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Alexander Zverev vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Alexander Zverev

Rank: #3
71%
VS

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #31
29%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Alexander Zverev

Ranking Trends

Alexander Zverev

  • Current Rank: #3 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #2 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #2 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #2 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #4 (2024-06-10)

Brandon Nakashima

  • Current Rank: #31 (2025-06-09)
  • 3 Months Ago: #33 (2025-03-03)
  • 6 Months Ago: #38 (2024-12-09)
  • 9 Months Ago: #40 (2024-09-09)
  • 12 Months Ago: #70 (2024-06-10)

Player Metrics

Alexander Zverev

Form Index: 77.4
ELO Rating: 6492.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1882.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 111.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 55.0
Clay: 53.9
Grass: 63.1
Serve Rating: 98.1
Return Rating: 88.3

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 45.1
ELO Rating: 1226.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1580.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 203.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 84.1

Recent Matches

Alexander Zverev
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Corentin Moutet (2-0) grass Stuttgart 111 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Tallon Griekspoor (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jesper de Jong (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Brandon Nakashima
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Learner Tien (2-0) grass Stuttgart 90 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Jacob Fearnley (2-1) grass Stuttgart 113 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Mariano Navone (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Luciano Darderi (1-2) clay Hamburg 167 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Raphael Collignon (1-0) clay Hamburg 60 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Alexander Zverev
vs
0
Brandon Nakashima
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match at the Stuttgart tournament promises to be an intriguing encounter as Alexander Zverev faces off against Brandon Nakashima on grass. Given Zverev's higher ranking and recent performance levels, he is predicted to win with a probability of 70.67%, while Nakashima stands at 29.33%. The anticipated total number of games played is expected to be around 23.

Match Analysis

Alexander Zverev currently holds a rank of 3, backed by a solid form index of 77.39 and an Elo rating of 6491.96. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is at 111 minutes, which is manageable at this stage. On grass, Zverev showcases a strong surface strength index of 63.06, complemented by a mean serve index of 98.12 and a mean return index of 88.27, indicating his proficiency in both serving and returning. In contrast, Brandon Nakashima, ranked 31, has a form index of 45.15 and an Elo rating of 1225.95. His fatigue level is higher at 203 minutes, which could impact his performance. Nakashima's surface strength index is notably low at 12.11, and while his mean serve index of 96.60 is competitive, his mean return index of 84.13 falls short compared to Zverev's by over 5 points. In their recent performances, Zverev has demonstrated his capabilities by winning his last match against Corentin Moutet convincingly in straight sets. His previous two matches include a tough loss to Novak Djokovic at Roland Garros and a victory over Tallon Griekspoor. Meanwhile, Nakashima has also shown promise in his last three outings, winning his matches at Stuttgart against Learner Tien and Jacob Fearnley after a disappointing exit at Roland Garros.

Final Prediction

Zverev's higher ranking, superior statistics on grass, and recent form give him a distinct advantage heading into this match. The key factor to watch will be his serve, as his mean serve index significantly outperforms Nakashima's, likely setting the tone for the match's outcome.