Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Semifinals

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Andrey Rublev Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #27
46%
VS

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #17
54%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Player Metrics

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 54.0
ELO Rating: 1473.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1667.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 330.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.1
Clay: 13.4
Grass: 12.3
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 85.7

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 56.8
ELO Rating: 2441.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1901.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 304.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.4
Clay: 23.1
Grass: 28.1
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-1) clay Hamburg 178 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (2-0) clay Hamburg 73 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Daniel Altmaier (2-0) clay Hamburg 79 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo (0-2) clay Madrid 113 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (1-2) clay Munich 182 min

Andrey Rublev

  • Last Match: vs Luciano Darderi (2-1) clay Hamburg 113 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Justin Engel (2-0) clay Hamburg 102 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (2-0) clay Hamburg 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Fabian Marozsan (1-2) clay Rome 142 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) clay Madrid 82 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
vs
2
Andrey Rublev
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The semifinals of the Hamburg tournament are set to feature an exciting clash between Felix Auger-Aliassime and Andrey Rublev on clay. With a slight edge, Rublev is predicted to win with a probability of 54.19%, while Auger-Aliassime has a 45.81% chance of victory. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 24 games played.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime is currently ranked 27th and has a form index of 53.99, indicating a moderate level of form heading into this match. His Elo rating of 1473 suggests he has room for improvement, especially considering his cumulative fatigue of 330 minutes from the current tournament. His surface strength index of 13.35 shows he is still developing on clay, but his mean serve index of 97.83 highlights his strong serving ability. In contrast, Andrey Rublev holds a higher rank at 17 and a superior form index of 56.84. His Elo rating of 2441 reflects a more established performance level, and with a fatigue level of 304 minutes, he appears to manage his energy well. Rublev’s surface strength index of 23.11 coupled with a mean return index of 87.63 gives him an advantage, especially with the noticeable difference of 5.93 in mean return indexes. Both players have shown solid performance in their recent matches. Auger-Aliassime has won his last three matches convincingly, with two of them being straight-set victories on clay. However, he faced a slightly longer match against Alexandre Muller, which could have added to his fatigue. Rublev has also been in good form, winning all of his last three matches, including a competitive encounter against Luciano Darderi. His matches have been shorter in duration, which may play a crucial role in maintaining his energy levels.

Final Prediction

Andrey Rublev’s higher ranking and form index, combined with his better surface strength and return capabilities, provide him with a significant edge in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Auger-Aliassime can utilize his serve to counter Rublev’s strong return game, which could influence the overall dynamics of the match.