Toronto
Canada
Hard
Masters 1000
Round of 64
Andrey Rublev vs Hugo Gaston Prediction
Andrey Rublev
Rank: #10
70%
VS
Hugo Gaston
Rank: #99
30%
Predicted Games Played:
22.0
Predicted Winner:
Andrey Rublev
Ranking Trends
Andrey Rublev
- Current Rank: #10 (2025-07-21)
- 3 Months Ago: #8 (2025-04-21)
- 6 Months Ago: #10 (2025-01-27)
- 9 Months Ago: #7 (2024-10-28)
- 12 Months Ago: #8 (2024-07-29)
Hugo Gaston
- Current Rank: #99 (2025-07-21)
- 3 Months Ago: #80 (2025-04-21)
- 6 Months Ago: #82 (2025-01-27)
- 9 Months Ago: #81 (2024-10-28)
- 12 Months Ago: #61 (2024-07-29)
Player Metrics
Andrey Rublev
Form Index:
42.9
ELO Rating:
1959.3
Glicko2 Rating:
1872.3
Current Fatigue (minutes):
0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
15.5
Clay:
22.0
Grass:
26.9
Serve Rating:
97.8
Return Rating:
87.4
Hugo Gaston
Form Index:
39.3
ELO Rating:
678.4
Glicko2 Rating:
1552.3
Current Fatigue (minutes):
115.0
Surface Strength:
Hard:
6.7
Clay:
6.6
Grass:
6.2
Serve Rating:
95.2
Return Rating:
89.6
Recent Matches
Andrey Rublev
- Last Match: vs Learner Tien (0-2) hard Washington 91 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (1-2) hard Los Cabos 148 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-1) hard Los Cabos 138 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Alex Hernandez (2-0) hard Los Cabos 74 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Carlos Alcaraz (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
Hugo Gaston
- Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (2-1) hard Toronto 115 min
- 2nd Last Match: vs Norbert Gombos (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 86 min
- 3rd Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (1-2) clay Bastad 108 min
- 4th Last Match: vs Chun-Hsin Tseng (2-0) clay Bastad 78 min
- 5th Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)
0
Andrey Rublev
vs
0
Hugo Gaston
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0
Key Prediction Insights
The matchup between Andrey Rublev and Hugo Gaston takes place in the Round of 64 at the Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Canada, on hard courts. With Rublev ranked 10th and Gaston at 99th, the prediction favors Rublev, who has a 69.57% probability of winning compared to Gaston's 30.43%. The expected total number of games played is estimated at 22.0.
Match Analysis
Andrey Rublev enters the match with a strong form index of 42.88 and an Elo rating of 1959.35, indicating solid performance levels. His surface strength index stands at 15.52, reflecting his capability on hard courts. Rublev has shown resilience despite recent setbacks in Washington and Los Cabos, where he faced tough opponents but managed to secure a victory in one of his last three matches. He has recorded a mean serve index of 97.81 and a mean return index of 87.43, showcasing his strong serving ability, which is a significant advantage over Gaston.
Conversely, Hugo Gaston, ranked 99th, carries a lower form index of 39.32 and an Elo rating of 678.35. His fatigue level is notably higher at 115.0 minutes, which could impact his performance. Gaston's surface strength index is at 6.70, showing less proficiency on hard courts compared to Rublev. While Gaston secured a recent victory against Mattia Bellucci in Toronto, his previous matches on clay resulted in losses, indicating inconsistencies in form. His mean serve index is slightly lower at 95.18, and his mean return index of 89.61 is more competitive, but the disparity in serve strength is a notable factor.
Final Prediction
Rublev's higher ranking, better recent form, and superior serving statistics provide him with a distinct advantage heading into this match. A key factor to monitor will be Rublev's ability to maintain his serving effectiveness against Gaston, as any break opportunities could shift the momentum in his favor.