Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Quarterfinals

Andrey Rublev vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

Andrey Rublev

Rank: #17
60%
VS

Luciano Darderi

Rank: #46
40%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Andrey Rublev

Ranking Trends

Andrey Rublev

  • Current Rank: #17 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #10 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #8 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #6 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #6 (2024-05-20)

Luciano Darderi

  • Current Rank: #46 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #61 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #44 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #38 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #47 (2024-05-20)

Player Metrics

Andrey Rublev

Form Index: 46.9
ELO Rating: 2441.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1899.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 191.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.4
Clay: 23.1
Grass: 28.0
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 87.7

Luciano Darderi

Form Index: 58.1
ELO Rating: 1199.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1583.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 236.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.7
Clay: 10.5
Grass: 9.9
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 86.6

Recent Matches

Andrey Rublev
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Justin Engel (2-0) clay Hamburg 102 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Damir Dzumhur (2-0) clay Hamburg 89 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (1-2) clay Rome 142 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Bublik (1-2) clay Madrid 82 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (0-2) clay Barcelona 114 min

Luciano Darderi
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) clay Hamburg 167 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Diego Dedura (2-0) clay Hamburg 69 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jack Draper (0-2) clay Rome 78 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Yunchaokete Bu (2-0) clay Rome 111 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Frances Tiafoe (0-2) clay Madrid 67 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Andrey Rublev
vs
0
Luciano Darderi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the quarterfinals of the Hamburg tournament, taking place on clay in Germany, Andrey Rublev is set to face Luciano Darderi. The predicted winner is Rublev, with a 59.93% probability of victory compared to Darderi's 40.07%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Andrey Rublev, currently ranked 17, holds a form index of 46.94 and an Elo rating of 2441.36. His cumulative fatigue stands at 191 minutes, and he boasts a solid surface strength index of 23.10. In contrast, Luciano Darderi, ranked 46, has a better form index of 58.11 but a significantly lower Elo rating of 1199.83. Darderi's fatigue is higher at 236 minutes, and his surface strength index is only 10.49. Notably, Rublev's mean serve index of 98.21 exceeds Darderi's 95.80 by over 5 points, indicating a stronger serving capability. Furthermore, while their return indices are close, Rublev's mean return index at 87.67 is marginally better than Darderi's 86.59, albeit within a 5-point range. In their recent matches, Rublev has displayed consistent form by winning his last two encounters at this tournament against Justin Engel and Damir Dzumhur without dropping a set. Conversely, Darderi also advanced through the rounds, defeating Brandon Nakashima and Diego Dedura, but he did lose a set against Nakashima. Overall, both players are showing competitive spirit, but Rublev's recent performances suggest he is in a better rhythm.

Final Prediction

Rublev's combination of a higher ranking, superior serving capability, and recent form gives him a distinct edge over Darderi. Key factors to watch during the match will be Rublev's ability to maintain his serving dominance and Darderi's capacity to respond effectively under pressure.