Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Arthur Rinderknech vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Arthur Rinderknech

Rank: #70
45%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #28
55%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ranking Trends

Arthur Rinderknech

  • Current Rank: #70 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #75 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #60 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #58 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #59 (2024-08-12)

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Current Rank: #28 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #27 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #23 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #28 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #19 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Arthur Rinderknech

Form Index: 51.1
ELO Rating: 1030.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1576.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 241.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.6
Clay: 7.5
Grass: 8.6
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 85.5

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 47.2
ELO Rating: 1322.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1665.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 117.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.0
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 85.5

Recent Matches

Arthur Rinderknech
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Casper Ruud (2-1) hard Cincinnati 157 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Nuno Borges (2-0) hard Cincinnati 84 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexis Galarneau (0-2) hard Toronto 96 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Arthur Cazaux (0-2) clay Kitzbuhel 115 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Yannick Hanfmann (2-1) clay Kitzbuhel 131 min

Felix Auger-Aliassime
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Tomas Martin Etcheverry (2-0) hard Cincinnati 117 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) hard Toronto 101 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Jan-Lennard Struff (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs James Duckworth (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Tallon Griekspoor (0-2) grass Mallorca 90 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Arthur Rinderknech
vs
1
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Arthur Rinderknech and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati Masters presents an intriguing clash. Set on a hard court, the match promises to be competitive, with Auger-Aliassime slightly favored to win at a probability of 55.01%, while Rinderknech holds a 44.99% chance. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 24.

Match Analysis

Arthur Rinderknech, currently ranked 70, has a form index of 51.07 and an Elo rating of 1030.27. His fatigue level stands at 241 minutes, which may impact his performance. Rinderknech has a surface strength index of 8.65, a mean serve index of 97.98, and a mean return index of 85.54. On the other hand, Felix Auger-Aliassime is ranked 28 with a form index of 47.15 and an Elo rating of 1322.66. Auger-Aliassime's fatigue is significantly lower at 117 minutes, and he boasts a surface strength index of 11.98. His mean serve index is 96.16, while his mean return index is 85.51. Notably, the disparity in their mean serve indices is marginal, indicating a close contest in serving capabilities. In their recent performances, Rinderknech has shown resilience, winning his last match against Casper Ruud after a tough battle lasting 157 minutes, while also defeating Nuno Borges without dropping a set. However, he faced a setback against Alexis Galarneau in Toronto. Auger-Aliassime, although victorious against Tomas Martin Etcheverry, faced defeats in his previous two matches, including a disappointing exit at Wimbledon. His recent form indicates inconsistency, but he appears to have regained some momentum heading into this matchup.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime has a slight edge in this contest, primarily due to his lower fatigue level and higher Elo rating, suggesting greater overall capability on the court. A key factor to watch will be the effectiveness of each player's serve, as both have similar serving statistics, which could greatly influence the outcome.