Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Ben Shelton vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Ben Shelton

Rank: #7
69%
VS

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rank: #47
31%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

Also available in Claude. Query these predictions in plain language — our native connector lets Claude call our models on demand, no code.

Set it up

Ranking Trends

Ben Shelton

  • Current #7 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #13 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #13 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #21 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #14 2024-08-12

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

  • Current #47 2025-07-28
  • 3 mo ago #60 2025-05-05
  • 6 mo ago #110 2025-02-03
  • 9 mo ago #106 2024-11-04
  • 12 mo ago #94 2024-08-12

Player Metrics

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 64.0
ELO Rating: 1884.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1745.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 15.3
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 15.7
Serve Rating: 97.9
Return Rating: 84.2

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form Index: 47.0
ELO Rating: 801.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1569.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 97.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.9
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 4.4
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 88.9

Recent Matches

Ben Shelton
✅ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Taylor Fritz (2-0) hard Toronto 78 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Alex de Minaur (2-0) hard Toronto 91 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Flavio Cobolli (2-1) hard Toronto 144 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) hard Toronto 156 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Adrian Mannarino (2-0) hard Toronto 65 min

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ben Shelton
vs
0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The matchup between Ben Shelton and Camilo Ugo Carabelli in the Round of 64 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000 promises to be an intriguing contest on hard courts. With a predicted winner of Ben Shelton, he holds a 68.65% probability of success compared to Carabelli’s 31.35%. The anticipated total number of games played is around 23.

Match Analysis

Ben Shelton, ranked 7th, boasts a strong form index of 63.99 and an Elo rating of 1884.59, indicating his current competitive prowess. Notably, he exhibits no cumulative fatigue, which positions him favorably heading into this match. His surface strength index stands at 15.34, and he possesses a mean serve index of 97.95, significantly higher than Carabelli’s 95.07. Additionally, Shelton's mean return index of 84.21 also outpaces Carabelli's 88.92, but the margin is less than 5 points, indicating that both players are capable on returns. In contrast, Camilo Ugo Carabelli, currently ranked 47th, has a form index of 46.95 and a considerably lower Elo rating of 801.90, reflecting his recent struggles. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament is at 97 minutes, which could impact his performance. Carabelli's recent matches showcase a mixed bag; he won his last match against Kei Nishikori but suffered defeats against Roberto Carballes Baena and Luciano Darderi in preceding outings. This inconsistency, coupled with his lower performance metrics, presents a challenging scenario against Shelton.

Final Prediction

Ben Shelton's higher ranking, robust recent performances, and lack of fatigue provide him with a distinct advantage going into this match. A critical factor to observe will be Shelton's serve effectiveness, as it could dictate the pace and outcome of the match against Carabelli.

Get Daily Tennis Predictions

Enjoyed this analysis? Subscribe to our Telegram channel and receive daily AI-driven tennis predictions directly on your phone.

Join Our Telegram Channel