Auckland New Zealand Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Ben Shelton vs Francisco Comesana Prediction

Ben Shelton

Rank: #8
65%
VS

Francisco Comesana

Rank: #66
35%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

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Ranking Trends

Ben Shelton

  • Current #8 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #6 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #9 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #15 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #20 2025-01-13

Francisco Comesana

  • Current #66 2026-01-05
  • 3 mo ago #68 2025-10-13
  • 6 mo ago #74 2025-07-14
  • 9 mo ago #62 2025-04-14
  • 12 mo ago #85 2025-01-13

Player Metrics

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 56.2
ELO Rating: 3960.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1733.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 100.0
Clay: 91.5
Grass: 96.7
Serve Rating: 57.0
Return Rating: 53.0

Francisco Comesana

Form Index: 53.3
ELO Rating: 785.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1566.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 80
Surface Strength:
Hard: 29.6
Clay: 22.5
Grass: 21.2
Serve Rating: 98.5
Return Rating: 95.9

Recent Matches

Ben Shelton
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Francisco Comesana
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ben Shelton
vs
0
Francisco Comesana
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

As the Round of 16 unfolds in the Auckland tournament, Ben Shelton is set to face Francisco Comesana on hard court. With a projected probability of 64.93% for Shelton and 35.07% for Comesana, the anticipated total number of games in this matchup is 24.0, indicating a potentially competitive encounter.

Match Analysis

Ben Shelton, currently ranked 8th, boasts a solid form index of 56.21 and an impressive Elo rating of 3960. His surface strength index is a perfect 100.0, showcasing his dominance on hard courts. Notably, Shelton has a mean serve index of 57.01, which is more than 5 points lower than Comesana's impressive 98.51, highlighting a significant advantage for the latter in serving capability. However, Shelton's mean return index of 52.97 is relatively close to Comesana's 95.95, indicating that while Comesana excels in serving, Shelton may hold his own when returning serve. In terms of recent performances, Shelton has had a mixed run, winning against Andrey Rublev and Flavio Cobolli but suffering a defeat against Jannik Sinner in his last match. Conversely, Comesana has shown some resilience, with a victory over Valentin Royer in his latest outing, though he has also encountered setbacks against Juncheng Shang and Felix Auger-Aliassime in previous matches. The cumulative fatigue of 80 minutes for Comesana, compared to Shelton's 0, may also play a crucial role in their performance.

Final Prediction

Shelton's edge comes from his higher rank, superior surface strength, and lack of fatigue, while Comesana's serving prowess could be a double-edged sword. The key factor to monitor in this matchup will be how well Shelton can handle Comesana's strong serve while capitalizing on his own return opportunities.

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