Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 32

Ben Shelton vs Matteo Gigante Prediction

Ben Shelton

Rank: #13
66%
VS

Matteo Gigante

Rank: #164
34%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Ben Shelton

Player Metrics

Ben Shelton

Form Index: 54.3
ELO Rating: 1801.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1708.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 15.6
Grass: 17.5
Serve Rating: 98.2
Return Rating: 84.1

Matteo Gigante

Form Index: 90.3
ELO Rating: 766.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1571.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 870.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.5
Clay: 5.9
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 93.3
Return Rating: 87.6

Recent Matches

Ben Shelton

  • Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (3-2) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-2) clay Rome 77 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (0-2) clay Madrid 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (2-1) clay Madrid 139 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (0-2) clay Munich 71 min

Matteo Gigante

  • Last Match: vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (3-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Benjamin Hassan (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Elmer Moller (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Zachary Svajda (2-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jerome Kym (2-1) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Ben Shelton
vs
0
Matteo Gigante
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at Roland Garros 2025, Ben Shelton faces Matteo Gigante on clay, a surface that often favors baseline players. The prediction tilts in favor of Shelton, who has a 65.69% probability of winning compared to Gigante's 34.31%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 36.

Match Analysis

Ben Shelton, currently ranked 13th, has a form index of 54.31 and an Elo rating of 1801.45. His cumulative fatigue stands at 174 minutes, which is relatively low, indicating he should be fresh for this encounter. His surface strength index of 15.59 is higher than Gigante's 5.86, showcasing his superior ability on clay. Shelton's mean serve index of 98.18 significantly outmatches Gigante's 93.31, suggesting an advantage in service games. Additionally, Shelton's mean return index of 84.07 is slightly lower than Gigante’s 87.61, but the gap is within a manageable range. On the other hand, Matteo Gigante ranks 164th but boasts an impressive form index of 90.26, reflecting his recent uptick in performance. His Elo rating of 766.30 is considerably lower than Shelton's. Gigante enters this match with a cumulative fatigue of 870 minutes after a series of demanding matches. He has shown resilience, winning his last three matches at Roland Garros, including a notable victory against Stefanos Tsitsipas. In contrast, Shelton has struggled in recent outings, losing two of his last three matches, including a recent defeat in Rome.

Final Prediction

Ben Shelton's higher ranking and superior performance metrics give him a distinct advantage in this matchup. His effective serving, coupled with Gigante's fatigue from longer matches, may prove pivotal. A key factor to monitor will be Shelton's ability to capitalize on his serve, which could dictate the tempo and momentum of the match.