Cincinnati OH, U.S.A. Hard Masters 1000 Round of 32

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Benjamin Bonzi Prediction

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Rank: #29
60%
VS

Benjamin Bonzi

Rank: #63
40%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ranking Trends

Stefanos Tsitsipas

  • Current Rank: #29 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #19 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #12 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #12 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #11 (2024-08-12)

Benjamin Bonzi

  • Current Rank: #63 (2025-08-04)
  • 3 Months Ago: #58 (2025-05-05)
  • 6 Months Ago: #62 (2025-02-03)
  • 9 Months Ago: #124 (2024-11-04)
  • 12 Months Ago: #128 (2024-08-12)

Player Metrics

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Form Index: 29.9
ELO Rating: 2056.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1850.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 83.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 17.0
Clay: 23.4
Grass: 22.9
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 84.8

Benjamin Bonzi

Form Index: 45.8
ELO Rating: 931.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1573.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 343.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.2
Clay: 5.8
Grass: 7.0
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.4

Recent Matches

Stefanos Tsitsipas
✅ ❌ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) hard Cincinnati 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Christopher O'Connell (1-2) hard Toronto 121 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Valentin Royer (0-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Alex Michelsen (0-2) grass Halle 103 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Matteo Gigante (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Benjamin Bonzi
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-1) hard Cincinnati 166 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Matteo Arnaldi (2-1) hard Cincinnati 177 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Adam Walton (1-2) hard Toronto 117 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Fabian Marozsan (0-2) hard Washington 77 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Jordan Thompson (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Stefanos Tsitsipas
vs
0
Benjamin Bonzi
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Cincinnati Masters 1000, Stefanos Tsitsipas is set to face Benjamin Bonzi on hard courts. Tsitsipas is favored to win with a 60.27% probability, while Bonzi's chances stand at 39.73%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Stefanos Tsitsipas, ranked 29th, holds a form index of 29.92 and an Elo rating of 2056.62. His fatigue level is at 83 minutes, indicative of a relatively fresh state compared to Bonzi. Tsitsipas boasts a significantly better surface strength index of 17.03, which highlights his proficiency on hard courts. His mean serve index of 97.38 exceeds Bonzi's 95.49 by over 5 points, suggesting a more powerful serve. Conversely, Bonzi's mean return index of 86.40 is slightly stronger than Tsitsipas's 84.84, but the difference is not as pronounced. In recent performances, Tsitsipas secured a decisive win against Fabian Marozsan in his last match, while he struggled in previous outings at Toronto and Wimbledon. On the other hand, Bonzi has shown resilience with back-to-back victories against Lorenzo Musetti and Matteo Arnaldi in Cincinnati, though he faced a loss against Adam Walton in Toronto. Bonzi's cumulative fatigue of 343 minutes could affect his performance, especially against a player of Tsitsipas's caliber.

Final Prediction

Tsitsipas’s superior serve and overall hard court performance, combined with Bonzi's higher fatigue level, give him a distinct advantage in this matchup. A key factor to watch will be Tsitsipas's ability to maintain pressure on Bonzi's serve, particularly in the early stages of the match.

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