Winston Salem NC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 250 Round of 16

Sebastian Baez vs Botic van de Zandschulp Prediction

Sebastian Baez

Rank: #43
50%
VS

Botic van de Zandschulp

Rank: #92
50%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Sebastian Baez

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Ranking Trends

Sebastian Baez

  • Current #43 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #36 2025-05-19
  • 6 mo ago #31 2025-02-17
  • 9 mo ago #27 2024-11-18
  • 12 mo ago #21 2024-08-19

Botic van de Zandschulp

  • Current #92 2025-08-04
  • 3 mo ago #89 2025-05-19
  • 6 mo ago #87 2025-02-17
  • 9 mo ago #80 2024-11-18
  • 12 mo ago #73 2024-08-19

Player Metrics

Sebastian Baez

Form Index: 38.9
ELO Rating: 1022.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1612.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 107.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.6
Clay: 9.1
Grass: 13.4
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 89.7

Botic van de Zandschulp

Form Index: 59.0
ELO Rating: 836.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1594.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 241.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 5.8
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 94.9
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Sebastian Baez
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ❌

Botic van de Zandschulp
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Sebastian Baez
vs
0
Botic van de Zandschulp
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Winston Salem tournament, Sebastian Baez faces Botic van de Zandschulp on hard courts in North Carolina. The match is expected to be closely contested, with Baez slightly favored to win with a probability of 50.22% compared to van de Zandschulp's 49.78%. The predicted total number of games played is set at 23.0.

Match Analysis

Sebastian Baez, currently ranked 43rd, holds a form index of 38.88 and an Elo rating of 1022.92. He has demonstrated resilience on hard surfaces with a surface strength index of 9.64. His cumulative fatigue stands at 107 minutes, which suggests he may be less worn compared to his opponent. Baez’s mean serve index of 96.60 is slightly higher than van de Zandschulp's 94.94, indicating a solid serve that could be instrumental in securing points. Botic van de Zandschulp, ranked 92nd, has a form index of 58.97 and an Elo rating of 836.06, reflecting a decent performance in recent matches. However, his fatigue level is significantly higher at 241 minutes, which could impact his overall performance. His surface strength index is 8.71, and while his mean return index of 88.24 is lower than Baez's 89.74, the difference is minimal and may not be critical in their matchup. Over their last three matches, Baez has secured two wins from three, while van de Zandschulp has achieved the same, suggesting both players are finding form.

Final Prediction

Sebastian Baez's slight edge in serve and a lower fatigue level provide him with a favorable condition heading into this match. It will be crucial to observe how each player's serve performs, as this could dictate the flow and outcome of the match.

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