Toronto Canada Hard Masters 1000 Round of 64

Brandon Nakashima vs Ethan Quinn Prediction

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #32
62%
VS

Ethan Quinn

Rank: #86
38%
Expected Total Games: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Brandon Nakashima

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Ranking Trends

Brandon Nakashima

  • Current #32 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #32 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #41 2025-01-27
  • 9 mo ago #35 2024-10-28
  • 12 mo ago #54 2024-07-29

Ethan Quinn

  • Current #86 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #119 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #160 2025-01-27
  • 9 mo ago #219 2024-10-28
  • 12 mo ago #254 2024-07-29

Player Metrics

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 59.1
ELO Rating: 1246.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1601.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.5
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 11.7
Serve Rating: 98.0
Return Rating: 84.2

Ethan Quinn

Form Index: 52.7
ELO Rating: 790.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1600.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 101.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.7
Clay: 6.9
Grass: 3.5
Serve Rating: 93.8
Return Rating: 85.8

Recent Matches

Brandon Nakashima
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ❌ vs Alex de Minaur (0-2) hard Washington 95 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) hard Washington 107 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Ethan Quinn (2-0) hard Washington 80 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Reilly Opelka (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Ethan Quinn
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Brandon Nakashima
vs
0
Ethan Quinn
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the prestigious Masters 1000 tournament in Toronto, Brandon Nakashima is set to face off against Ethan Quinn on hard courts. With a probability of winning at 62.06%, Nakashima is favored over Quinn, who has a winning probability of 37.94%. The predicted total number of games played in this match is estimated to be 24.

Match Analysis

Brandon Nakashima, currently ranked 32, showcases a solid form index of 59.14, supported by an Elo rating of 1246.34. His cumulative fatigue stands at zero, indicating he is fresh heading into this match. Additionally, Nakashima's surface strength index of 12.52 and a mean serve index of 98.01 reflect his capability on hard courts. In contrast, Ethan Quinn is ranked 86, with a lower form index of 52.71 and an Elo rating of 790.74. Quinn’s fatigue level is higher at 101 minutes, which could affect his performance. Notably, Nakashima's mean serve index exceeds Quinn's by over 4 points, providing him with a slight advantage in serving. Analyzing their recent performances, Nakashima has had mixed results, losing to Alex de Minaur but previously defeating Cameron Norrie and Quinn himself in Washington. His win over Quinn in their last encounter (2-0 in sets) further solidifies his confidence. On the other hand, Quinn recently secured a victory against Yoshihito Nishioka, but his prior loss to Nakashima could weigh on him mentally.

Final Prediction

Brandon Nakashima's consistent performance and superior serving capabilities give him a distinct edge over Ethan Quinn in this matchup. The key factor to watch will be how Nakashima utilizes his serve against Quinn's returning game, particularly given the surface conditions in Toronto.

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