London Great Britain Grass Atp 500 Round of 32

Brandon Nakashima vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

Brandon Nakashima

Rank: #32
51%
VS

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Rank: #36
49%
Expected Total Games: 25.0
Predicted Winner: Brandon Nakashima

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Ranking Trends

Brandon Nakashima

  • Current #32 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #32 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #38 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #39 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #63 2024-06-17

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

  • Current #36 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #29 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #31 2024-12-16
  • 9 mo ago #51 2024-09-16
  • 12 mo ago #67 2024-06-17

Player Metrics

Brandon Nakashima

Form Index: 41.0
ELO Rating: 1226.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1579.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 11.9
Serve Rating: 98.1
Return Rating: 84.0

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Form Index: 41.8
ELO Rating: 1256.1
Glicko2 Rating: 1528.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.4
Clay: 10.7
Grass: 13.6
Serve Rating: 97.8
Return Rating: 83.0

Recent Matches

Brandon Nakashima
❌ ✅ ✅ ❌ ❌

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
❌ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Brandon Nakashima
vs
0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the ATP 500 tournament in London, Brandon Nakashima is set to face Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard on grass courts. The match is expected to be closely contested, with Nakashima predicted to win with a probability of 50.60%, while Perricard holds a 49.40% chance. The anticipated total number of games played is around 25.

Match Analysis

Brandon Nakashima, currently ranked 32, has a form index of 41.01 and an Elo rating of 1225.95. His surface strength index stands at 11.93, which reflects his adaptability on grass. In contrast, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, ranked 36, has a slightly better form index of 41.76 and a higher Elo rating of 1256.12. His surface strength index is also higher at 13.63, indicating a solid performance potential on grass. The mean serve index for Nakashima is 98.08, while Perricard's is slightly lower at 97.85, resulting in a negligible difference. However, Nakashima's mean return index of 84.05 is superior to Perricard's 82.99, providing him with a slight edge in returning serves. In their recent performances, Nakashima has had mixed results, winning 2 of his last 3 matches, including a strong victory against Learner Tien but struggling against Alexander Zverev. Conversely, Perricard also won 2 out of his last 3 matches, showcasing resilience with a victory over Roman Safiullin but falling to Felix Auger-Aliassime in his latest match. Both players enter this contest with zero cumulative fatigue, which could lead to a high-energy match.

Final Prediction

Nakashima's slight advantage in return capabilities and recent match experience gives him an edge entering this encounter. A key factor to observe will be how well each player can implement their serve and return strategies, particularly given the close ratings and indices.

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