Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 64

Cameron Norrie vs Billy Harris Prediction

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #41
60%
VS

Billy Harris

Rank: #148
40%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Cameron Norrie

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Ranking Trends

Cameron Norrie

  • Current #41 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #91 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #52 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #53 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #44 2024-07-22

Billy Harris

  • Current #148 2025-07-21
  • 3 mo ago #102 2025-04-21
  • 6 mo ago #127 2025-01-13
  • 9 mo ago #112 2024-10-21
  • 12 mo ago #114 2024-07-22

Player Metrics

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 83.5
ELO Rating: 1392.9
Glicko2 Rating: 1717.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 96.9
Return Rating: 88.4

Billy Harris

Form Index: 59.9
ELO Rating: 566.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1537.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 202.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 4.0
Clay: 3.5
Grass: 6.7
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 86.6

Recent Matches

Cameron Norrie
❌ ✅ ✅ ✅ ✅

Billy Harris
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Moerani Bouzige (2-0) hard Washington 120 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Marek Gengel (2-0) hard Washington 82 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Nuno Borges (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Dusan Lajovic (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Ugo Humbert (0-2) grass Eastbourne 101 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Cameron Norrie
vs
1
Billy Harris
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 1

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 64 at the Washington tournament, Cameron Norrie is set to face Billy Harris on hard courts. Norrie is predicted to win with a probability of 59.83%, while Harris has a 40.17% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is approximately 23.

Match Analysis

Cameron Norrie currently holds a rank of 41 and showcases a strong form index of 83.50 along with an Elo rating of 1392.90. He demonstrates a commendable surface strength index of 10.02, indicating his adaptability on hard courts. Norrie's cumulative fatigue is at 0.0 minutes, reflecting his fresh status in this tournament. In contrast, Billy Harris is ranked 148 with a form index of 59.92 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 566.69. Harris's surface strength index stands at a modest 3.97, and he carries a cumulative fatigue of 202.0 minutes, which could hinder his performance. In their recent matchups, Norrie suffered a defeat against Carlos Alcaraz at Wimbledon but managed victories against Nicolas Jarry and Mattia Bellucci in earlier rounds of the same tournament. Harris, on the other hand, has shown resilience in Washington, winning his last two matches against Moerani Bouzige and Marek Gengel, after a tough outing at Wimbledon where he lost to Nuno Borges.

Final Prediction

Norrie's combination of higher ranking, superior form index, and fresh condition positions him as the favored player in this matchup. The key factor to observe will be Norrie's serve, as his mean serve index suggests he may have a solid advantage in this area over Harris.

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