Roland Garros France Clay Grand Slam Round of 128

Daniil Medvedev vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: #11
63%
VS

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #91
37%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Daniil Medvedev

Player Metrics

Daniil Medvedev

Form Index: 48.9
ELO Rating: 3916.3
Glicko2 Rating: 2171.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 33.9
Clay: 37.0
Grass: 43.0
Serve Rating: 96.6
Return Rating: 88.5

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 60.6
ELO Rating: 1225.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1694.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 10.1
Grass: 9.8
Serve Rating: 96.0
Return Rating: 88.6

Recent Matches

Daniil Medvedev

  • Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Rome 99 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (2-0) clay Rome 86 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Cameron Norrie (2-0) clay Rome 92 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Madrid 100 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (2-1) clay Madrid 109 min

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (1-2) clay Geneva 134 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alexei Popyrin (2-0) clay Geneva 103 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Tomas Machac (2-1) clay Geneva 105 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Dominic Stricker (2-0) clay Geneva 95 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jenson Brooksby (2-0) clay Geneva 75 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Daniil Medvedev
vs
0
Cameron Norrie
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
1 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 128 at Roland Garros, Daniil Medvedev is set to face Cameron Norrie on the clay courts of France. The predicted winner is Daniil Medvedev, with a probability of winning at 62.58%, while Cameron Norrie has a 37.42% chance. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 36.0.

Match Analysis

Daniil Medvedev, currently ranked 11th, holds a form index of 48.88 and an Elo rating of 3916.28. His surface strength index stands at 37.02, indicating a moderate capability on clay. With a mean serve index of 96.63, he demonstrates a strong serve which is a critical asset on this surface. In comparison, Cameron Norrie is ranked 91st and has a form index of 60.64, with an Elo rating of 1225.23. Norrie's surface strength index is considerably lower at 10.11, suggesting he may struggle more against higher-ranked opponents on clay. Notably, Medvedev's mean serve index is higher than Norrie's by approximately 0.61 points, while their mean return indices are quite close, with Norrie having a slight edge of 0.11 points over Medvedev. In their recent performances, Medvedev has faced a mixed bag of results, losing his last match against Lorenzo Musetti but defeating Norrie in their prior encounter in Rome. His overall form has been slightly shaky, having won just one of his last three matches. Conversely, Norrie has shown resilience, winning two of his last three matches, including a notable victory against Alexei Popyrin. However, he succumbed to Novak Djokovic in his recent outing, which may impact his confidence heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Daniil Medvedev possesses a significant edge due to his superior serving capabilities and recent head-to-head success against Norrie. A key factor to watch will be Medvedev's ability to leverage his serve effectively on clay, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.