Wimbledon Great Britain Grass Grand Slam Round of 16

Nicolas Jarry vs Cameron Norrie Prediction

Nicolas Jarry

Rank: #143
36%
VS

Cameron Norrie

Rank: #61
64%
Predicted Games Played: 39.0
Predicted Winner: Cameron Norrie

Player Metrics

Nicolas Jarry

Form Index: 92.0
ELO Rating: 1261.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1668.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 1044.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.5
Clay: 9.4
Grass: 11.1
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 84.2

Cameron Norrie

Form Index: 84.2
ELO Rating: 1368.2
Glicko2 Rating: 1713.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 522.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 11.3
Grass: 10.9
Serve Rating: 95.5
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Nicolas Jarry

  • Last Match: vs Joao Fonseca (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Learner Tien (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Holger Rune (3-2) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lukas Klein (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jozef Kovalik (2-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Cameron Norrie

  • Last Match: vs Mattia Bellucci (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Billy Harris (0-2) grass Eastbourne 84 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Novak Djokovic (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Nicolas Jarry
vs
0
Cameron Norrie
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 at Wimbledon sees Nicolas Jarry face off against Cameron Norrie on the grass courts of Great Britain. With a predicted probability of 64.32% for Norrie to win compared to Jarry's 35.68%, the anticipated total number of games played is 39.0.

Match Analysis

Nicolas Jarry, currently ranked 143, has demonstrated a solid form index of 92.04, indicating a strong performance level despite his lower ranking. His Elo rating stands at 1261.23, but he faces significant fatigue at 1044 minutes, which could hinder his performance. Jarry's surface strength index is 11.08, and he showcases a mean serve index of 97.28. However, his mean return index of 84.17 is comparatively weaker against Norrie's. Cameron Norrie, ranked 61, has a form index of 84.22 and a higher Elo rating of 1368.21, reflecting his superior capabilities on the court. Norrie's fatigue level is lower at 522 minutes, giving him a physical edge. His mean serve index of 95.51 and mean return index of 88.51 both surpass Jarry's, particularly in return game effectiveness, which offers a tactical advantage. In their recent performances, Jarry has won all three of his last matches at Wimbledon, showing resilience and form. However, he faced three sets in one match against Holger Rune, indicating a potential vulnerability in long matches. On the other hand, Norrie has also been impressive, winning all his matches in straight sets, including a strong showing against Frances Tiafoe. Both players have demonstrated their ability to perform on grass, but Norrie's recent dominance suggests he is in better form.

Final Prediction

Cameron Norrie's edge in Elo rating, lower fatigue level, and superior return index positions him as a strong favorite in this match. The key factor to watch will be Norrie's ability to return Jarry's serves effectively, which could dictate the pace and outcome of the match.