Bastad Sweden Clay Atp 250 Round of 16

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Botic van de Zandschulp Prediction

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Rank: #56
47%
VS

Botic van de Zandschulp

Rank: #92
53%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Botic van de Zandschulp

Player Metrics

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Form Index: 23.4
ELO Rating: 766.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1558.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 123.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.5
Clay: 6.6
Grass: 4.2
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 88.9

Botic van de Zandschulp

Form Index: 45.3
ELO Rating: 726.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1579.1
Current Fatigue (minutes): 77.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.4
Clay: 5.0
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 94.8
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

  • Last Match: vs Cristian Garin (2-0) clay Bastad 123 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (0-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Ethan Quinn (0-2) grass Mallorca 66 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Reilly Opelka (0-2) grass London 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Botic van de Zandschulp

  • Last Match: vs Mikael Ymer (2-0) clay Bastad 77 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Matteo Arnaldi (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Nishesh Basavareddy (1-2) grass Mallorca 210 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (0-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
vs
0
Botic van de Zandschulp
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Bastad tournament, set on clay in Sweden, Camilo Ugo Carabelli faces Botic van de Zandschulp in what promises to be a competitive encounter. The predicted winner is Botic van de Zandschulp, with a win probability of 52.97% compared to Carabelli's 47.03%. It is anticipated that the total number of games played will be around 22.

Match Analysis

Camilo Ugo Carabelli, currently ranked 56, holds a form index of 23.39 and an Elo rating of 766.83. His cumulative fatigue from the current tournament is notable at 123 minutes, which may impact his performance. His surface strength index stands at 6.63, and he has a mean serve index of 96.44 and a return index of 88.92. In contrast, Botic van de Zandschulp, ranked 92, has a superior form index of 45.26 and an Elo rating of 726.78. His fatigue level is lower at 77 minutes. He possesses a mean serve index of 94.80 and a return index of 88.23. While both players have strong serve and return metrics, Carabelli's serve index surpasses Zandschulp's by more than five points, indicating his serving strength may play a crucial role in the match. In their recent performances, Carabelli secured a convincing victory over Cristian Garin in his last match, winning in straight sets. However, he struggled in his previous two matches at Wimbledon, losing both, which raises concerns about his current form. On the other hand, Zandschulp also won his latest match against Mikael Ymer without dropping a set, although he faced a challenging outing at Wimbledon where he lost to Alejandro Davidovich Fokina after a hard-fought battle.

Final Prediction

Botic van de Zandschulp appears to have the edge due to his better recent form and lower fatigue level, which could prove vital in a match on clay. A key factor to observe will be how both players handle pressure moments, particularly in the return game, as both possess strong return indices.