Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Ruud arrives as the lower-ranked player on paper (25 vs 15), but his numbers here tell a different story: a stronger form index (64.13 vs 49.91), higher Elo (1875.76 vs 1728.57) and a markedly better surface strength index on clay (42.06 vs 28.61). Those factors are reinforced by his return profile (mean return index 88.29) and a very solid serve index (95.63), positioning him well for extended baseline exchanges typical on clay. Khachanov still brings an imposing serve (mean serve index 95.21) and a good return (86.11), but his clay-specific numbers lag behind Ruud’s. Fatigue is a meaningful contrast: Ruud has played 220 minutes so far at this event, while Khachanov has logged 368 minutes, including two marathon wins. Ruud’s recent wins in Rome have been efficient (matches of 64–79 minutes), whereas Khachanov’s path featured longer battles (103–148 minutes), which could matter late in rallies and on second serves. Both players have won their last three matches in Rome, but Ruud’s were quicker straight-set victories while Khachanov needed longer, more physical matches to advance.