Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin: AI Prediction | Games, Spread, Aces & Double Faults

Ruud enters with the stronger résumé on paper: world No. 17, an Elo of 1906, and a surface strength index (44.6) that signifies solid clay competence. His form index sits at roughly 50 and his mean serve and return indices (95.6 and 88.8) mark him as both a reliable server and an accomplished returner on slower courts. Crucially, Ruud shows zero cumulative fatigue in this event, meaning he arrives physically fresh after a short clay swing in Geneva where he went 2-1. Safiullin is the underdog by ranking (No. 142) and Elo (1648) but brings a higher form index (58.5) into the match thanks to three straight wins at Roland Garros. Those wins came in long encounters — each listed at 174 minutes — leaving him with substantial tournament fatigue (522 minutes). His surface strength index is low (16.7), suggesting clay is not his best environment despite competent baseline tools. Both players register nearly identical mean serve indices (95.4–95.6) and similar return footprints, so serve superiority is not a major separating factor; the deciding elements are Ruud’s higher baseline clay profile and Safiullin’s accumulated fatigue.