Mallorca Spain Grass Atp 250 Quarterfinals

Learner Tien vs Corentin Moutet Prediction

Learner Tien

Rank: #67
46%
VS

Corentin Moutet

Rank: #89
54%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Corentin Moutet

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Ranking Trends

Learner Tien

  • Current #67 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #66 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #122 2024-12-23
  • 9 mo ago #151 2024-09-23
  • 12 mo ago #371 2024-06-24

Corentin Moutet

  • Current #89 2025-06-16
  • 3 mo ago #76 2025-03-17
  • 6 mo ago #70 2024-12-23
  • 9 mo ago #70 2024-09-23
  • 12 mo ago #55 2024-06-24

Player Metrics

Learner Tien

Form Index: 42.4
ELO Rating: 1008.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1562.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.5
Clay: 4.6
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 96.2
Return Rating: 89.2

Corentin Moutet

Form Index: 61.1
ELO Rating: 1183.0
Glicko2 Rating: 1604.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 291.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.7
Clay: 9.3
Grass: 8.1
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 88.5

Recent Matches

Learner Tien
✅ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Ben Shelton (2-0) grass Mallorca 100 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ✅ vs Justin Engel (2-0) grass Mallorca 74 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Nicolas Jarry (0-2) grass Halle 61 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) grass Stuttgart 90 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (1-1) grass Stuttgart 105 min

Corentin Moutet
✅ ✅ ❌ ✅ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Learner Tien
vs
0
Corentin Moutet
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The quarterfinal match at the Mallorca tournament sees Learner Tien facing Corentin Moutet on grass. With a slight edge, Moutet is predicted to win with a probability of 53.62%, while Tien has a 46.38% chance of victory. The anticipated total number of games played in this encounter is 23.

Match Analysis

Learner Tien, currently ranked 67, has a form index of 42.38 and an Elo rating of 1008.73. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 174 minutes, indicating a relatively fresh state compared to his opponent. Tien's surface strength index on grass is 5.59, which is lower than Moutet's 8.05, showcasing Moutet's better adaptability to the surface. Tien's mean serve index is 96.23, while his mean return index is 89.19, indicating a slight advantage in serving capabilities. Corentin Moutet, ranked 89, boasts a form index of 61.11 and a higher Elo rating of 1183.04. His cumulative fatigue is significantly higher at 291 minutes, reflecting a more demanding path to the quarterfinals. Moutet has displayed resilience in his last three matches, winning convincingly against Daniel Altmaier and Pedro Martinez, while facing a setback against Jacob Fearnley. In contrast, Tien has won his last two matches decisively without dropping a set, but faced a loss against Nicolas Jarry in his prior outing at Halle.

Final Prediction

Corentin Moutet's edge lies in his superior Elo rating and experience on grass, along with a better surface strength index, despite his higher fatigue levels. A critical factor to monitor during the match will be how Tien manages his serve against Moutet's returning capabilities, as this could significantly influence the outcome.

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