Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 32

Daniel Altmaier vs Alex de Minaur Prediction

Daniel Altmaier

Rank: #56
24%
VS

Alex de Minaur

Rank: #8
76%
Expected Total Games: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Alex de Minaur

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Player Metrics

Daniel Altmaier

Form Index: 40.9
ELO Rating: 992.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1590.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 7.9
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 5.4
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 87.7

Alex de Minaur

Form Index: 60.3
ELO Rating: 2589.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1790.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 174.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 20.4
Clay: 27.1
Grass: 28.5
Serve Rating: 94.4
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Daniel Altmaier

Alex de Minaur

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Daniel Altmaier
vs
1
Alex de Minaur
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 of the US Open, set to take place on hard courts in New York, Daniel Altmaier will face Alex de Minaur. The prediction leans heavily in favor of de Minaur, with a probability of winning at 76.16%, compared to Altmaier's 23.84%. The match is expected to be competitive, with a predicted total of 36 games played.

Match Analysis

Alex de Minaur, currently ranked 8th, showcases a form index of 60.31 and an impressive Elo rating of 2589.78, indicating his strong performance on the tour. His fatigue level stands at 174 minutes, matching that of Altmaier, who is ranked 56th with a form index of 40.92 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 992.37. Notably, de Minaur's surface strength index of 20.43 surpasses Altmaier's index of 7.89, indicating his superior adaptability to hard courts. Additionally, while both players exhibit similar return capabilities, de Minaur's mean serve index of 94.35 is marginally stronger than Altmaier's 97.10, showcasing that he can hold serve effectively. In their recent performances, Altmaier's last three matches include a hard-fought victory against Stefanos Tsitsipas but two prior losses against Roberto Bautista Agut and Yosuke Watanuki, suggesting mixed form. Conversely, de Minaur's recent outing against Shintaro Mochizuki resulted in a decisive straight-sets win, although he faced defeats against Reilly Opelka and Ben Shelton in Cincinnati and Toronto, respectively. The contrasting recent results highlight de Minaur's more consistent performance in high-stakes matches.

Final Prediction

De Minaur's higher ranking, superior form index, and better overall performance against tough opponents give him a significant edge going into this matchup. A key factor to watch will be how well both players can maintain their serves, particularly with de Minaur's slightly stronger service game playing a critical role in his chances of advancing.

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