Us Open NY, U.S.A. Hard Grand Slam Round of 128

Emilio Nava vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Emilio Nava

Rank: #105
24%
VS

Taylor Fritz

Rank: #4
76%
Predicted Games Played: 36.0
Predicted Winner: Taylor Fritz

Player Metrics

Emilio Nava

Form Index: 53.5
ELO Rating: 547.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1561.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 5.4
Clay: 2.6
Grass: 2.1
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 85.2

Taylor Fritz

Form Index: 53.8
ELO Rating: 3959.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1812.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 31.2
Clay: 37.4
Grass: 44.8
Serve Rating: 97.1
Return Rating: 85.9

Recent Matches

Emilio Nava

  • Last Match: vs Taylor Fritz (0-2) hard Cincinnati 68 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Borna Coric (2-0) hard Cincinnati 98 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Mariano Navone (2-0) hard Cincinnati 91 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Mikhail Kukushkin (2-0) hard Cincinnati 95 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Karen Khachanov (1-2) hard Toronto 130 min

Taylor Fritz

  • Last Match: vs Terence Atmane (1-2) hard Cincinnati 119 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Lorenzo Sonego (2-0) hard Cincinnati 127 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Emilio Nava (2-0) hard Cincinnati 68 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Ben Shelton (0-2) hard Toronto 78 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Andrey Rublev (2-0) hard Toronto 81 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Emilio Nava
vs
1
Taylor Fritz
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The upcoming match between Emilio Nava and Taylor Fritz at the US Open promises to be a compelling contest. Set in New York on hard courts during the first round of this prestigious Grand Slam event, Taylor Fritz is favored to win, with a probability of 76.16%, compared to Emilio Nava's 23.84%. The predicted total number of games played is estimated at 36.

Match Analysis

Emilio Nava, currently ranked 105, has a form index of 53.55 and an Elo rating of 547.63, which indicates that he has struggled to find consistent performance lately. His fatigue level is at 0, meaning he enters this match fresh. Nava's surface strength index stands at 5.42, and his mean serve index is 97.26, complemented by a mean return index of 85.23. Notably, his serve quality is comparable to Fritz's, but he lags in terms of return capabilities. In contrast, Taylor Fritz is positioned at an impressive rank of 4 and has a form index of 53.82, showcasing slightly better current form. His Elo rating of 3959.37 highlights his status as a top competitor. Like Nava, he has a fatigue level of 0, but his surface strength index is significantly better at 31.16. Fritz's mean serve index is slightly lower at 97.07, but his mean return index of 85.90 provides him with a notable advantage over Nava, exceeding the five-point difference threshold. Both players have had mixed results recently, with Fritz defeating Nava in their last encounter in Cincinnati, where he won in straight sets. Additionally, Fritz's previous match against Terence Atmane ended in a defeat, contrasting with Nava's recent win against Borna Coric. This inconsistency in performance raises questions about both players' confidence levels heading into this match.

Final Prediction

Taylor Fritz's higher ranking, better surface strength index, and superior return capabilities give him a significant edge over Emilio Nava in this matchup. As the match unfolds, the effectiveness of Fritz's return game will be a crucial factor to monitor, potentially dictating the pace and outcome of the encounter.