Paris France Hard Masters 1000 Round of 16

Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #10
64%
VS

Daniel Altmaier

Rank: #50
36%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

Player Metrics

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 60.4
ELO Rating: 1610.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1712.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 322.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.8
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.0
Serve Rating: 97.5
Return Rating: 85.5

Daniel Altmaier

Form Index: 44.7
ELO Rating: 1027.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1601.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 181.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 8.6
Clay: 8.7
Grass: 5.6
Serve Rating: 95.6
Return Rating: 87.2

Recent Matches

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Last Match: vs Alexandre Muller (2-1) hard Paris 184 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-1) hard Paris 138 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jaume Munar (0-1) hard Basel 45 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Marin Cilic (2-0) hard Basel 107 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Gabriel Diallo (2-0) hard Basel 110 min

Daniel Altmaier

  • Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (2-0) hard Paris 85 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Marcos Giron (2-0) hard Paris 96 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-1) hard Vienna 58 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly (1-2) hard Brussels 158 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jannik Sinner (0-2) hard Shanghai 98 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Felix Auger-Aliassime
vs
2
Daniel Altmaier
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
1 - 1
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 of the Masters 1000 tournament in Paris, Felix Auger-Aliassime is set to face Daniel Altmaier on hard courts. The matchup sees Auger-Aliassime, ranked 10th, as the favored player with a 64.25% probability of winning, while Altmaier, currently ranked 50th, holds a 35.75% chance. The predicted total number of games played in this encounter is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime boasts a significantly higher ranking and form index compared to Daniel Altmaier, with values of 10 and 60.35, respectively, versus Altmaier's rank of 50 and form index of 44.71. Auger-Aliassime's Elo rating of 1610.27 also surpasses Altmaier's 1027.72, indicating stronger overall performance metrics. Fatigue levels are another consideration, with Auger-Aliassime having accumulated 322 minutes on court, compared to Altmaier’s 181 minutes, suggesting that Auger-Aliassime may be more fatigued entering this match. Additionally, Auger-Aliassime's surface strength index of 13.81 indicates a better adaptation to hard courts than Altmaier's 8.65. In their recent performances, Auger-Aliassime has shown resilience, winning two out of his last three matches, including a tough battle against Alexandre Muller that lasted 184 minutes. In contrast, Altmaier has been in good form as well, winning his last two matches, both in straight sets, showcasing his ability to dominate when in the right rhythm. However, their victories came against lower-ranked opponents, which may not prepare Altmaier adequately for the challenge posed by Auger-Aliassime.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime is favored to win due to his higher ranking, stronger metrics, and more recent competitive experience, despite the fatigue he carries. A key factor to monitor during the match will be Auger-Aliassime's serve, as his mean serve index significantly surpasses Altmaier's by over 1.9 points, which could play a critical role in determining the outcome.