Brussels Belgium Hard Atp 250 Semifinals

Raphael Collignon vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Raphael Collignon

Rank: #90
35%
VS

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Rank: #13
65%
Expected Total Games: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Felix Auger-Aliassime

Player Metrics

Raphael Collignon

Form Index: 61.0
ELO Rating: 750.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1525.0
Current Fatigue (minutes): 382.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.6
Clay: 4.4
Grass: 3.9
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 90.2

Felix Auger-Aliassime

Form Index: 64.6
ELO Rating: 1602.4
Glicko2 Rating: 1698.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 272.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 14.0
Clay: 13.0
Grass: 12.1
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.7

Recent Matches

Raphael Collignon

  • Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-0) hard Brussels 107 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-1) hard Brussels 156 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Zizou Bergs (2-0) hard Brussels 119 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (0-3) hard Us Open 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (3-2) hard Us Open 174 min

Felix Auger-Aliassime

  • Last Match: vs Eliot Spizzirri (2-0) hard Brussels 99 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Damir Dzumhur (2-1) hard Brussels 173 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Arthur Rinderknech (0-2) hard Shanghai 88 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (2-0) hard Shanghai 85 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Jesper de Jong (2-0) hard Shanghai 100 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Raphael Collignon
vs
0
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the semifinals of the Brussels tournament, held on hard courts in Belgium, Raphael Collignon faces off against Felix Auger-Aliassime. The predicted winner is Felix Auger-Aliassime, with a probability of winning at 65.17%, while Raphael Collignon has a 34.83% chance of victory. The projected total number of games played in this match is 22.0.

Match Analysis

Felix Auger-Aliassime, currently ranked 13th, boasts a solid form index of 64.60 and an impressive Elo rating of 1602.41. He has a lower cumulative fatigue of 272 minutes compared to Collignon’s 382 minutes, which may give him an edge in stamina during the match. Auger-Aliassime's surface strength index is significantly higher at 13.97, indicating his greater effectiveness on hard surfaces. Furthermore, his mean serve index of 95.90 slightly surpasses Collignon's index of 95.76, creating a small advantage in serving capabilities. However, Collignon's mean return index of 90.21 exceeds Auger-Aliassime's 85.67, suggesting he may excel in returning serves. In their recent performances, both players have shown strong form. Collignon has won all his last three matches, including a convincing straight-sets victory against Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. His recent success demonstrates his rising confidence. On the other hand, Auger-Aliassime has also secured victories in his last two matches, with a notable win against Damir Dzumhur, although he experienced a setback in an earlier match in Shanghai. This recent form indicates that both players are capable of competing at a high level.

Final Prediction

Felix Auger-Aliassime is predicted to have the upper hand due to his higher ranking, lower fatigue levels, and overall better performance on hard surfaces, despite Collignon's strong returning ability. A key factor to watch will be Auger-Aliassime's serve, as he seeks to capitalize on his slight advantage in serving while managing to mitigate Collignon's strong return game.

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