Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Round of 16

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Rank: #26
56%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #34
44%
Predicted Games Played: 22.0
Predicted Winner: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ranking Trends

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

  • Current Rank: #26 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #50 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #62 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #57 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #34 (2024-05-20)

Flavio Cobolli

  • Current Rank: #34 (2025-05-05)
  • 3 Months Ago: #40 (2025-02-17)
  • 6 Months Ago: #32 (2024-11-18)
  • 9 Months Ago: #31 (2024-08-19)
  • 12 Months Ago: #56 (2024-05-20)

Player Metrics

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Form Index: 45.5
ELO Rating: 1447.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1690.4
Current Fatigue (minutes): 83.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.6
Clay: 10.3
Grass: 6.6
Serve Rating: 96.4
Return Rating: 87.4

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 45.9
ELO Rating: 1180.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1571.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 157.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 11.4
Grass: 12.2
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 88.2

Recent Matches

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ❌

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Gael Monfils (2-0) clay Hamburg 83 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Jesper de Jong (0-1) clay Rome 66 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Alexander Zverev (1-2) clay Madrid 164 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Nuno Borges (2-0) clay Madrid 73 min
  • 5th Last Match: ❌ vs Karen Khachanov (0-2) clay Barcelona 105 min

Flavio Cobolli
✅ ❌ ❌ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Vitaliy Sachko (2-1) clay Hamburg 157 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Luca Nardi (0-2) clay Rome 88 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ❌ vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) clay Madrid 102 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Holger Rune (1-0) clay Madrid 43 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Fabian Marozsan (2-0) clay Madrid 115 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
vs
2
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
0 - 2
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 16 at the Hamburg tournament promises an exciting clash between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Flavio Cobolli on clay. The predicted winner is Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, with a win probability of 55.77% compared to Cobolli's 44.23%. The anticipated total number of games in this matchup is 22.

Match Analysis

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, currently ranked 26, boasts a solid form index of 45.51 and an Elo rating of 1447. His cumulative fatigue stands at 83 minutes, indicating he is relatively fresh compared to Cobolli. His surface strength index of 10.31 suggests a strong performance on clay, complemented by a mean serve index of 96.36 and a mean return index of 87.39. Flavio Cobolli, ranked 34, has a slightly better form index of 45.94, albeit with a lower Elo rating of 1180. Cobolli's fatigue is notably higher at 157 minutes, which may impact his performance. He has a surface strength index of 11.40, a mean serve index of 95.76, and a mean return index of 88.19, indicating a competitive but slightly less effective return game compared to Davidovich Fokina. In their recent performances, Davidovich Fokina secured a decisive victory over Gael Monfils in his last match, winning in straight sets, while his earlier matches saw him struggle against Jesper de Jong and Alexander Zverev. Conversely, Cobolli recently defeated Vitaliy Sachko but faced defeats against Luca Nardi and Brandon Nakashima in prior matches. This mixed form could play a pivotal role in their upcoming encounter.

Final Prediction

Davidovich Fokina's recent form and lower fatigue level provide him with a slight advantage heading into this matchup. A key factor to monitor will be his serving effectiveness, as any significant difference in serve performance could determine the outcome in a potentially close contest.