Washington DC, U.S.A. Hard Atp 500 Round of 16

Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #18
53%
VS

Frances Tiafoe

Rank: #11
47%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Flavio Cobolli

Ranking Trends

Flavio Cobolli

  • Current Rank: #18 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #36 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #32 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #31 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #48 (2024-07-22)

Frances Tiafoe

  • Current Rank: #11 (2025-07-21)
  • 3 Months Ago: #17 (2025-04-21)
  • 6 Months Ago: #16 (2025-01-13)
  • 9 Months Ago: #15 (2024-10-21)
  • 12 Months Ago: #29 (2024-07-22)

Player Metrics

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 77.4
ELO Rating: 1431.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1667.3
Current Fatigue (minutes): 89.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 10.0
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.6
Serve Rating: 96.7
Return Rating: 88.2

Frances Tiafoe

Form Index: 68.8
ELO Rating: 1550.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1704.9
Current Fatigue (minutes): 115.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.1
Clay: 14.4
Grass: 19.9
Serve Rating: 95.7
Return Rating: 86.7

Recent Matches

Flavio Cobolli
✅ ❌ ✅ ✅ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Yoshihito Nishioka (2-0) hard Washington 89 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Novak Djokovic (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Marin Cilic (3-1) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ✅ vs Jakub Mensik (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Jack Pinnington Jones (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min

Frances Tiafoe
✅ ❌ ✅ ❌ ✅

  • Last Match: ✅ vs Aleksandar Kovacevic (2-1) hard Washington 115 min
  • 2nd Last Match: ❌ vs Cameron Norrie (1-3) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 3rd Last Match: ✅ vs Elmer Moller (3-0) grass Wimbledon 174 min
  • 4th Last Match: ❌ vs Lorenzo Musetti (1-3) clay Roland Garros 174 min
  • 5th Last Match: ✅ vs Daniel Altmaier (3-0) clay Roland Garros 174 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Flavio Cobolli
vs
1
Frances Tiafoe
Hard
0 - 1
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 16 at the Washington tournament, Flavio Cobolli is set to face Frances Tiafoe on hard courts. The prediction favors Cobolli with a slight edge, holding a probability of 52.72% for victory, while Tiafoe has a 47.28% chance of winning. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 24.0.

Match Analysis

Flavio Cobolli, currently ranked 18th, displays a solid form index of 77.41, which suggests he is performing well recently. His Elo rating stands at 1431.81, while he has a cumulative fatigue of 89 minutes from the tournament. Cobolli's surface strength index of 9.99 indicates he is reasonably competent on hard courts. In terms of serve and return, Cobolli's mean serve index is 96.74, providing him with a slight advantage over Tiafoe, whose mean serve index is 95.70. Additionally, Cobolli has a better mean return index of 88.18 compared to Tiafoe’s 86.67, showcasing his ability to counter Tiafoe's serves. Frances Tiafoe, ranked 11th, shows a form index of 68.77 and a higher Elo rating at 1550.50, yet he carries more fatigue at 115 minutes. Tiafoe's recent performances include a victory in his last match against Aleksandar Kovacevic, where he won 2-1, but he faced setbacks against Cameron Norrie, losing 1-3. In contrast, Cobolli secured a straightforward win against Yoshihito Nishioka in his last match, demonstrating his current strong form.

Final Prediction

Cobolli's slight edge in both serve and return indices, coupled with his recent strong performance, positions him favorably in this matchup. A critical factor to observe will be how each player manages their fatigue levels, particularly Tiafoe, as it could significantly influence their endurance in this hard-fought contest.