Marin Cilic vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Marin Cilic, ranked 109, comes into this match with a form index of 60.59 and an Elo rating of 526.95. His cumulative fatigue stands at 522 minutes, indicating he has spent considerable time on court in this tournament. Cilic's surface strength index is relatively low at 2.87, reflecting his struggles on clay this season. In contrast, Flavio Cobolli, currently ranked 34, boasts a form index of 65.43 and a significantly higher Elo rating of 1255.65. Crucially, Cobolli has no cumulative fatigue, suggesting he is fresh and ready for competition. His surface strength index is also higher at 11.76, showcasing his proficiency on clay. The difference in mean serve index is marginal (Cilic at 97.25, Cobolli at 95.75), but Cobolli's mean return index of 88.34 surpasses Cilic's 87.44, giving him an edge in returning serves. In their recent performances, Cilic won two out of his last three matches, but his latest match resulted in a loss after a hard-fought three-set encounter. Cobolli, however, has been on a winning streak, securing victories in all his last three matches, including wins over established players like Roberto Bautista Agut. This momentum further solidifies Cobolli's position as the favorite in this matchup.