Vienna Austria Hard Atp 500 Round of 32

Tomas Machac vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Tomas Machac

Rank: #31
54%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #22
46%
Expected Total Games: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Machac

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Ranking Trends

Tomas Machac

  • Current #31 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #22 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #20 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #25 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #27 2024-10-21

Flavio Cobolli

  • Current #22 2025-10-20
  • 3 mo ago #18 2025-07-21
  • 6 mo ago #36 2025-04-21
  • 9 mo ago #32 2025-01-13
  • 12 mo ago #31 2024-10-21

Player Metrics

Tomas Machac

Form Index: 45.1
ELO Rating: 1094.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1593.5
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 12.5
Clay: 14.0
Grass: 12.9
Serve Rating: 96.5
Return Rating: 86.4

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 40.8
ELO Rating: 1270.3
Glicko2 Rating: 1648.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 0.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.3
Clay: 13.1
Grass: 11.8
Serve Rating: 95.1
Return Rating: 87.8

Recent Matches

Tomas Machac
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Flavio Cobolli
❌ ✅ ❌ ❌ ✅

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

0
Tomas Machac
vs
0
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
0 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the Round of 32 at the Vienna tournament, Tomas Machac will face Flavio Cobolli on hard courts. With a slight edge in terms of probability, Machac is predicted to win with a 53.79% chance, while Cobolli has a 46.21% chance. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is estimated at 23.

Match Analysis

Tomas Machac, currently ranked 31, has a form index of 45.09 and an Elo rating of 1094.45. His surface strength index of 12.46 indicates a solid performance on hard courts, while his mean serve index of 96.50 gives him a slight advantage over Cobolli, whose mean serve index is 95.11. Additionally, Machac's mean return index of 86.42 is closely matched with Cobolli's 87.84, with only a minor difference that may not significantly impact the match. Cobolli, ranked 22, holds a higher Elo rating at 1270.27, but his lower surface strength index suggests he may struggle on this particular surface. In their recent performances, both players have shown mixed results. Machac lost his last match against Valentin Vacherot but previously secured a victory over Mattia Bellucci. Cobolli, on the other hand, suffered a defeat against James Duckworth in his latest outing, although he did manage to win against Rinky Hijikata in the middle of his last three matches. This inconsistency in performance could play a crucial role in the outcome of their upcoming encounter.

Final Prediction

Tomas Machac's slight edge in serve and comparable return capabilities, coupled with his recent competitive experience, positions him favorably against Cobolli. A key factor to watch will be how effectively Machac can leverage his serve index to dictate play and maintain pressure during crucial points in the match.

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