Hamburg Germany Clay Atp 500 Semifinals

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Rank: #51
56%
VS

Flavio Cobolli

Rank: #34
44%
Predicted Games Played: 23.0
Predicted Winner: Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Player Metrics

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Form Index: 56.5
ELO Rating: 1206.8
Glicko2 Rating: 1622.6
Current Fatigue (minutes): 345.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 10.6
Grass: 10.3
Serve Rating: 97.4
Return Rating: 87.1

Flavio Cobolli

Form Index: 60.1
ELO Rating: 1232.5
Glicko2 Rating: 1588.8
Current Fatigue (minutes): 347.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 9.9
Clay: 11.6
Grass: 12.2
Serve Rating: 95.8
Return Rating: 88.3

Recent Matches

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

  • Last Match: vs Jiri Lehecka (2-0) clay Hamburg 112 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli (2-0) clay Hamburg 114 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) clay Hamburg 119 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Laslo Djere (0-2) clay Rome 74 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Lorenzo Musetti (0-2) clay Madrid 107 min

Flavio Cobolli

  • Last Match: vs Roberto Bautista Agut (2-0) clay Hamburg 84 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (2-0) clay Hamburg 106 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Vitaliy Sachko (2-1) clay Hamburg 157 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Luca Nardi (0-2) clay Rome 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) clay Madrid 102 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

1
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
vs
0
Flavio Cobolli
Hard
1 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

In the semifinals of the Hamburg tournament, taking place on clay, Tomas Martin Etcheverry is set to face Flavio Cobolli. The predicted winner is Tomas Martin Etcheverry, with a win probability of 55.66% compared to Cobolli's 44.34%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 23.0.

Match Analysis

Tomas Martin Etcheverry currently holds a rank of 51, with an Elo rating of 1206.76 and a form index of 56.49. His cumulative fatigue from the tournament stands at 345 minutes, suggesting he has been tested but still competitive. On the other hand, Flavio Cobolli, ranked 34, boasts a slightly higher Elo rating of 1232.54 and a form index of 60.15, indicating a stronger recent performance. Cobolli’s fatigue level is marginally higher at 347 minutes. Notably, Cobolli has a surface strength index of 11.61 compared to Etcheverry's 10.61, demonstrating a slight edge on clay. When examining their serving and returning capabilities, Etcheverry's mean serve index of 97.39 surpasses Cobolli's 95.75 by over 5 points, which could provide him with an advantage in securing service games. Furthermore, Cobolli's mean return index of 88.33 is slightly better than Etcheverry's 87.11, indicating he may perform better on return games. In their recent matches, both players have shown strong form, with Etcheverry winning all his last three matches without dropping a set, while Cobolli has also been impressive, winning his last three matches decisively, including a victory over Roberto Bautista Agut.

Final Prediction

Tomas Martin Etcheverry's edge in serve quality and his current form, having won three straight matches without losing a set, positions him favorably against Cobolli. A crucial factor to watch will be the effectiveness of Etcheverry’s serve against Cobolli's returning capabilities, as this may significantly influence the match outcome.