Rome Italy Clay Masters 1000 Round of 32

Francisco Cerundolo vs Sebastian Ofner Prediction

Francisco Cerundolo

Rank: #18
62%
VS

Sebastian Ofner

Rank: #143
38%
Predicted Games Played: 24.0
Predicted Winner: Francisco Cerundolo

Player Metrics

Francisco Cerundolo

Form Index: 58.9
ELO Rating: 1851.6
Glicko2 Rating: 1730.7
Current Fatigue (minutes): 117.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 13.4
Clay: 14.7
Grass: 12.5
Serve Rating: 97.3
Return Rating: 89.2

Sebastian Ofner

Form Index: 54.3
ELO Rating: 722.7
Glicko2 Rating: 1619.2
Current Fatigue (minutes): 347.0
Surface Strength:
Hard: 6.0
Clay: 7.2
Grass: 6.5
Serve Rating: 95.9
Return Rating: 85.0

Recent Matches

Francisco Cerundolo

  • Last Match: vs Nicolas Jarry (2-0) clay Rome 117 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Casper Ruud (0-2) clay Madrid 114 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Jakub Mensik (2-1) clay Madrid 131 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Alexander Zverev (2-0) clay Madrid 89 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Francisco Comesana (2-0) clay Madrid 96 min

Sebastian Ofner

  • Last Match: vs Frances Tiafoe (2-1) clay Rome 120 min
  • 2nd Last Match: vs Roberto Carballes Baena (1-0) clay Rome 50 min
  • 3rd Last Match: vs Yannick Hanfmann (2-0) clay Rome 89 min
  • 4th Last Match: vs Kamil Majchrzak (2-0) clay Rome 88 min
  • 5th Last Match: vs Brandon Nakashima (0-2) clay Madrid 90 min

Head-to-Head (Last 2 Seasons)

2
Francisco Cerundolo
vs
0
Sebastian Ofner
Hard
2 - 0
Clay
0 - 0
Grass
0 - 0

Key Prediction Insights

The Round of 32 match at the Rome Masters pits Francisco Cerundolo against Sebastian Ofner on the clay courts of Italy. Based on current form and statistics, Francisco Cerundolo is predicted to win with a probability of 62.31%, while Sebastian Ofner's chances stand at 37.69%. The anticipated total number of games played in this match is 24.

Match Analysis

Francisco Cerundolo enters the contest ranked 18th with a form index of 58.92 and an Elo rating of 1851.56. His cumulative fatigue is relatively moderate at 117 minutes, and he boasts a solid surface strength index of 14.70, indicating his proficiency on clay. In contrast, Sebastian Ofner, ranked 143rd, shows a lower form index of 54.32 and a significantly lower Elo rating of 722.65. His fatigue level is notably high at 347 minutes, which may impact his performance. The difference in mean serve index favors Cerundolo, who has a mean serve index of 97.27 compared to Ofner's 95.89, although the difference is less than 5 points. The mean return index also favors Cerundolo, who has an index of 89.17 compared to Ofner’s 84.98, providing him an additional edge. In their recent performances, Cerundolo won his last match against Nicolas Jarry in straight sets, demonstrating strong form. However, he faced a setback in his previous match in Madrid against Casper Ruud. Ofner, on the other hand, has shown resilience by winning his last three matches, including a notable victory against Frances Tiafoe, which should provide him with confidence entering this matchup.

Final Prediction

Cerundolo's stronger ranking, superior return game, and manageable fatigue level position him favorably for this encounter. The key factor to monitor will be how well Cerundolo can capitalize on Ofner's fatigue, particularly given the differences in their recent match durations and performances.